Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Tallinna FC Flora appears to be the clear favorite for this match. The hosts Harju Jalgpallikool have a disastrous home record – zero wins, 100% losses, and an average of 3 goals conceded per match at home. Their negative xG (0.96 to 2.8) and poor conversion rate (17%) confirm offensive and defensive issues. Flora, on the other hand, shows solid overall form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and a positive goal difference (10 scored, 5 conceded). Despite the lack of detailed away statistics for the visitors, their league position (4th place) and better overall results indicate a class advantage. Considering the dominance in expected goals against the hosts and their inability to score points at home, Tallinna FC Flora's victory is the most likely scenario.
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Tallinna FC Flora 42%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 70%, Tallinna FC Flora 79%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.53. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-0-5. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Tallinna FC Flora appears to be the clear favorite for this match. The hosts Harju Jalgpallikool have a disastrous home record – zero wins, 100% losses, and an average of 3 goals conceded per match at home. Their negative xG (0.96 to 2.8) and poor conversion rate (17%) confirm offensive and defensive issues. Flora, on the other hand, shows solid overall form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and a positive goal difference (10 scored, 5 conceded). Despite the lack of detailed away statistics for the visitors, their league position (4th place) and better overall results indicate a class advantage. Considering the dominance in expected goals against the hosts and their inability to score points at home, Tallinna FC Flora's victory is the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Flora is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.11 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Harju Jalgpallikool 0 - 0 - 5 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 2:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 0, Tallinna FC Flora won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.05. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.