Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 13 September 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

115%(5.50)
X20%(4.33)
265%(1.37)

Tallinna FC Flora appears to be the clear favorite for this match. The hosts Harju Jalgpallikool have a disastrous home record – zero wins, 100% losses, and an average of 3 goals conceded per match at home. Their negative xG (0.96 to 2.8) and poor conversion rate (17%) confirm offensive and defensive issues. Flora, on the other hand, shows solid overall form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and a positive goal difference (10 scored, 5 conceded). Despite the lack of detailed away statistics for the visitors, their league position (4th place) and better overall results indicate a class advantage. Considering the dominance in expected goals against the hosts and their inability to score points at home, Tallinna FC Flora's victory is the most likely scenario.

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool played Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 3.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 100%, Tallinna FC Flora 0%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 100%, Tallinna FC Flora 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 69%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.23. Harju Jalgpallikool: 8.5 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 18.0.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 0-15 (2 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 69%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Flora appears to be the clear favorite for this match. The hosts Harju Jalgpallikool have a disastrous home record – zero wins, 100% losses, and an average of 3 goals conceded per match at home. Their negative xG (0.96 to 2.8) and poor conversion rate (17%) confirm offensive and defensive issues. Flora, on the other hand, shows solid overall form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and a positive goal difference (10 scored, 5 conceded). Despite the lack of detailed away statistics for the visitors, their league position (4th place) and better overall results indicate a class advantage. Considering the dominance in expected goals against the hosts and their inability to score points at home, Tallinna FC Flora's victory is the most likely scenario.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

32Possession (%)68
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
8Shots15
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
5Shots on target2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.19xG1.9
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1Corners10
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
46Dangerous attacks113
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
17Fouls12
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
7Cards2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
2Goals conceded / match0.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
37%Average possession57%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4Shots on target / match4
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.5Shots per match18
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4Shots on target4
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
17.6%Shot conversion8.3%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
37%Possession57%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.23xG for2.05
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
2.93xG against1.49
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: Counter-attackingTallinna FC Flora: Dominant
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Accuracy (shots on target)47%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool
WL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 2.93BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tallinna FC Flora
WL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.5 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

3Goals scored (season)3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4Goals conceded (season)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3.5Average goals in match2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4Goals conceded (last 5)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
50%2 goals50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%3 goals50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
50%2 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
50%3 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 2 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%Scored in both halves50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
100%BTTS - last 50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.5 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.5Goals scored (1st half)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
2Average goals (1st half)1.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%No goal before half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
100%No goal after half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.00
Goals scored / match1.50.0
Goals conceded / match0.51.5
Average goals in match2.01.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%0%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.502.00
Goals scored / match1.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match1.50.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.93
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 67% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.99
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
22%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaTallinna FC Flora
Average goals in match 3.503.46 2.00
Both teams scored 100%54% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%69% 50%
Clean sheets 0%23% 50%
Goal before half-time 100%85% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%85% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.46
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.23
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+81%
Home attack advantage
+45%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardAbdul Binate
  2. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardAndreas Vaher
  3. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardSergei Zenjov
  4. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardMarkus Kesa
  5. Harju JalgpallikoolGoalRamol SillamaaAssist: Abdul Binate
  6. Harju JalgpallikoolSubstitutionOn: Karel EermeOff: Ramol Sillamaa
  7. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardDaniil Rudenko
  8. Harju JalgpallikoolSubstitutionOn: Karl-Erik EnnusteOff: Abdul Binate
  9. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Oscar PihelaOff: Andreas Vaher
  10. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardKarel Eerme
  11. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardSander Soo
  12. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardImre Kartau
  13. Harju JalgpallikoolYellow cardKarl-Erik Ennuste
  14. Harju JalgpallikoolGoalKarl-Erik Ennuste

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Harju Jalgpallikool 0 - 0 - 4 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
3 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
4 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?

The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 2:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 0, Tallinna FC Flora won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 0% of Tallinna FC Flora's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.