Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 08 September 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

120%(7.90)
X25%(5.50)
255%(1.23)

Tallinna FC Levadia occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) compared to Harju Jalgpallikool (4th place), which indicates their advantage this season. Both teams display identical form over their last 5 matches (wlwdw) with the same points per game (2.0 PPG), however, Levadia stands out with a better goal difference in recent fixtures (12 goals scored compared to 9 for the hosts). The key advantage for the visitors is their defense – they are yet to concede a single goal this season (0 GA), while the hosts have let in 1 goal. Tallinna FC Levadia also scored more goals in their last 5 matches (12) while conceding 6, giving them an attacking edge. Considering their higher league position, solid defense, and the offensive efficiency of the visitors, a victory for Tallinna FC Levadia is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even form of both teams.

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool played Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 3.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 100%, Tallinna FC Levadia 0%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 100%, Tallinna FC Levadia 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 3.13 vs 1.51. Harju Jalgpallikool: 11.0 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 28.0.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.00. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 0-15 (1 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 25%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Levadia occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) compared to Harju Jalgpallikool (4th place), which indicates their advantage this season. Both teams display identical form over their last 5 matches (wlwdw) with the same points per game (2.0 PPG), however, Levadia stands out with a better goal difference in recent fixtures (12 goals scored compared to 9 for the hosts). The key advantage for the visitors is their defense – they are yet to concede a single goal this season (0 GA), while the hosts have let in 1 goal. Tallinna FC Levadia also scored more goals in their last 5 matches (12) while conceding 6, giving them an attacking edge. Considering their higher league position, solid defense, and the offensive efficiency of the visitors, a victory for Tallinna FC Levadia is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even form of both teams.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
6Shots25
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4Shots on target5
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0.96xG2.8
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Corners17
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
42Dangerous attacks123
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
8Fouls13
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Cards3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Goals scored / match2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1Goals conceded / match0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
41%Average possession69%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4Shots on target / match10
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match28
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
4Shots on target10
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
18.2%Shot conversion7.1%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
41%Possession69%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1.51xG for3.13
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
3.05xG against1.07
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: Counter-attackingTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 3.05BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tallinna FC Levadia
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 3.13Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: mixed

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

2Goals scored (season)2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1Goals conceded (season)0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
3Average goals in match2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1Goals conceded (last 5)0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
100%2 goals100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%3 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%2 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%3 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 1 matches
0%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.0 of 1 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Scored in both halves100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
100%BTTS - last 50%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Goals scored (1st half)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
2Average goals (1st half)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%No goal before half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)3
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
0%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia
100%No goal after half-time0%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Levadia

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.00
Goals scored / match2.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.003.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
71%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+2.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
200%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals in match 3.003.50 2.00
Both teams scored 100%50% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%63% 0%
Clean sheets 0%25% 100%
Goal before half-time 100%75% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%88% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
2.50
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+150%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
25%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalBubacarr TambedouAssist: Maksimilian Skvortsov
  2. Harju JalgpallikoolGoalAbdul BinateAssist: Daniil Rudenko
  3. Harju JalgpallikoolRed cardAndres Järve
  4. Harju JalgpallikoolSubstitutionOn: Hugo PalutajaOff: Abdul Binate
  5. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardMark Oliver Roosnupp
  6. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Moussa Felix SambeOff: Mark Oliver Roosnupp
  7. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardBubacarr Tambedou
  8. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalFrank LiivakAssist: Victory Sunday Iboro
  9. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalMaksimilian SkvortsovAssist: Joseph Saliste
  10. Harju JalgpallikoolSubstitutionOn: Markus KesaOff: Kristjan Kriis
  11. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Robert KirssOff: Bubacarr Tambedou
  12. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardMihkel Ainsalu

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Harju Jalgpallikool 0 - 1 - 3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool
2 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
5 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 1:3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 2.00 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 0% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 1-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

The statistical background for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.