Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka: match statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool played Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tammeka: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.63 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.25 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 63%, Tammeka 63%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 63%, Tammeka 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.43. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.0 shots per match, Tammeka: 11.9.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00. Tammeka: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (5 goals). Tammeka: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Harju Jalgpallikool sits 4th with 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses this season, while Tammeka are 8th with 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, giving a clear table advantage to the hosts. Over the last 5 matches Harju averages 1.4 points (form: 2W, 1D, 2L) versus Tammeka’s 0.8 points (1W, 1D, 3L), so form favors the home side. Defensively Harju concedes 1.75 goals on average at home compared to Tammeka’s 2.0 goals conceded away, and across the season hosts have 12 goals conceded versus 16 for the visitors. Tammeka generate more chances (15.75 shots and xG 1.84 away vs 6.0 shots and xG 1.03 for Harju at home), but their low efficiency — 8% conversion rate and 50% of away matches without a goal — limits their prospects of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Home side have 75% of matches this season with BTTS, visitors 50%, and in the last 5 matches both teams registered BTTS 60% each. Both teams concede on average 2.0 goals per game this season; in the last 5 matches the hosts concede 1.6 on average and the away side 2.0, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Offensively the visitors generate 1.84 xG and 15.75 shots (6.5 on target) per match, hosts register 1.01 xG and 8.0 shots (3.5 on target); despite the hosts having higher finishing rate 16% versus 8% for the visitors, the visitors’ superiority in shots and xG indicates a real threat to both goals. Hosts have no clean sheets this season (0%), visitors 25% clean sheets, and the league records 57% BTTS matches with an average of 3.28 goals per game, so the combined data more strongly supports BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG and defensive metrics indicate 1.26 expected goals for Harju (attack xG 1.01 and xG conceded 1.51, (1.01+1.51)/2=1.26) and 1.87 for Tammeka (attack xG 1.84 and xG conceded to Harju 1.89, (1.84+1.89)/2≈1.87), totaling 3.13 expected goals. Season-long both teams have 75% of matches Over 2.5 goals; in the last 5 games Tammeka has 80% >2.5 versus Harju’s 60%, while the league average is 65% >2.5, which strengthens the signal for Over 2.5. Harju concedes on average 2.0 goals per match and has xG against of 1.89, and Tammeka averages 15.75 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match, supporting their scoring potential as the away side. On this basis the strongest pick is Over 2.5 (I estimate probability 78%), with Over 1.5 being nearly certain (95%) and Over 3.5 less convincing (45%). Therefore I recommend staking Over at the 2.5 line as the main selection, based on the combined xG of 3.13 and season stats showing 75% of matches >2.5 for both teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team (Harju Jalgpallikool) were trailing at half-time in 3 of their last 4 matches (75%), scoring an average of 0.0 goals before the break and conceding 1.25, which strongly indicates the visitors (Tammeka) lead at the break. The visitors have a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 1.84 versus the hosts' 1.01, 15.75 shots versus 8.0 and 6.5 shots on target versus 3.5, so Tammeka retaining the lead is likely. The hosts, however, make up ground in the second half: they average 1.25 goals after the break versus 0.25 for the visitors, earned 6 points in second halves versus 4 for the visitors and average 1.5 points per second half versus 1.0 for their opponents, giving them a realistic chance of a draw or a turnaround. Considering the visitors' advantage in xG and shots and the fact that the hosts are behind at half-time in 75% of matches, the most probable scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2) — I assess this at 45%. Next most likely outcomes are 2/X (19%) as a hold-and-share scenario and X/1 (10%) as the most common turnaround from a half-time draw, therefore I recommend the HT/FT pick: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.8 pts / match - Tammeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.25 goals / match - Tammeka
Harju Jalgpallikool is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2 goals / match - Tammeka
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Tammeka scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under - Tammeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.75 pts / match - Tammeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Tammeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.13 | 3.28 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 93% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Harju Jalgpallikool 1 - 1 - 2 Tammeka. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 1:0 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tammeka?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 1, Tammeka won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.25. The Meistriliiga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 63% of Tammeka's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tammeka in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tammeka 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka?
The statistical background for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.