Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics
The match between Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town promises to be a tight clash between two struggling teams from the bottom of the table. Harrogate occupies 23rd place and has a disastrous home record (18% wins, 71% losses), yet their recent form shows improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games. Cheltenham, in 19th position, presents even weaker current form—merely 0.6 points per match in the last 5 games, with no victories in that period. The visitors have a slightly better shot conversion rate (9% vs 5%) and fail to score less frequently on the road (31% vs 59% for the hosts at home), which could give them an offensive edge. Both teams have negative goal differences and high averages of goals conceded, suggesting goals from both sides. Given the poor form of both squads, defensive and offensive issues, and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though a slight advantage for the hosts stems from playing before their own crowd.
Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harrogate Town played Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Harrogate Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harrogate Town scores 0.71 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 1.03 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harrogate Town 41%, Cheltenham Town 47%. Over 2.5: Harrogate Town 32%, Cheltenham Town 44%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Harrogate Town has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.17. Harrogate Town: 11.1 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 10.3.
Match halves
Harrogate Town: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.41. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Harrogate Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town promises to be a tight clash between two struggling teams from the bottom of the table. Harrogate occupies 23rd place and has a disastrous home record (18% wins, 71% losses), yet their recent form shows improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games. Cheltenham, in 19th position, presents even weaker current form—merely 0.6 points per match in the last 5 games, with no victories in that period. The visitors have a slightly better shot conversion rate (9% vs 5%) and fail to score less frequently on the road (31% vs 59% for the hosts at home), which could give them an offensive edge. Both teams have negative goal differences and high averages of goals conceded, suggesting goals from both sides. Given the poor form of both squads, defensive and offensive issues, and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though a slight advantage for the hosts stems from playing before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harrogate Town | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harrogate Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 1 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cheltenham Town is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.03 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Harrogate Town is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.69 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Harrogate Town scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Cheltenham Town scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harrogate Town
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harrogate Town
Cheltenham Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Harrogate Town | Liga | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Harrogate Town 0 - 1 - 0 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Harrogate Town 1:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?
Harrogate Town score 0.71 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 1.03. The EFL League Two average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's matches and 47% of Cheltenham Town's.
What form are Harrogate Town and Cheltenham Town in?
Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.