Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
Harrogate Town is presenting catastrophic form, occupying the last, 24th place in the table with only 15% wins at home and 77% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 9, giving them the worst PPG record of 0.2. Fleetwood Town, despite a weak recent series of 5 defeats, possesses significantly better away statistics: 23% wins on the road, higher scoring efficiency (0.92 goals per match vs 0.62 for Harrogate), and a better shot conversion rate (7% vs 5%). A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in xG (1.44 vs 1.35 for the hosts) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring a goal on the road (31% vs 62% for Harrogate at home). Despite the poor current form of both teams, Fleetwood possesses a clear qualitative and statistical advantage, making them the favorites for this meeting.
Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harrogate Town played Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Harrogate Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harrogate Town scores 0.70 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.31 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harrogate Town 41%, Fleetwood Town 69%. Over 2.5: Harrogate Town 33%, Fleetwood Town 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.15. Harrogate Town: 10.1 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 11.9.
Match halves
Harrogate Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Harrogate Town: 76-90+ (5 goals). Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Harrogate Town is presenting catastrophic form, occupying the last, 24th place in the table with only 15% wins at home and 77% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 9, giving them the worst PPG record of 0.2. Fleetwood Town, despite a weak recent series of 5 defeats, possesses significantly better away statistics: 23% wins on the road, higher scoring efficiency (0.92 goals per match vs 0.62 for Harrogate), and a better shot conversion rate (7% vs 5%). A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in xG (1.44 vs 1.35 for the hosts) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring a goal on the road (31% vs 62% for Harrogate at home). Despite the poor current form of both teams, Fleetwood possesses a clear qualitative and statistical advantage, making them the favorites for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harrogate Town | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fleetwood Town is 87% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.31 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.31 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Harrogate Town scores in 56% of matches (15 of 27 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Fleetwood Town scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harrogate Town
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 1 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harrogate Town
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Harrogate Town | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.63 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Harrogate Town 0 - 0 - 1 Fleetwood Town. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Harrogate Town 1:2 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?
Harrogate Town score 0.70 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.31. The EFL League Two average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Harrogate Town's matches and 69% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Harrogate Town and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.