Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harrogate Town played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 0:4.

Current form

Harrogate Town: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harrogate Town scores 0.90 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.90 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harrogate Town 50%, Milton Keynes Dons 70%. Over 2.5: Harrogate Town 35%, Milton Keynes Dons 65%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.12. Harrogate Town: 9.8 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 11.5.

Match halves

Harrogate Town: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.55. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Harrogate Town: 16-30 (4 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
7Shots22
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
2Shots on target9
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.93xG2.5
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
2Corners3
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
46Dangerous attacks69
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
8Fouls11
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
2Cards0
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.9Goals scored / match1.9
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
1.55Goals conceded / match1.2
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
48%Average possession51%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
3.2Shots on target / match4.25
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.85Shots per match11.5
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
3.2Shots on target4.25
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
9.1%Shot conversion16.5%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
48%Possession51%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
1.12xG for1.32
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
1.66xG against1.24
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Harrogate Town: BalancedMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Milton Keynes Dons is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 1.6 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Harrogate Town
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W25% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-11
0.85 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-7
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%
Milton Keynes Dons
WDWLD
Season result split
45% W30% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-5
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 111% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.9 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 1.2 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Harrogate Town scoring profile: very strong

Harrogate Town scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

18Goals scored (season)38
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
31Goals conceded (season)24
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
2.45Average goals in match3.1
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
3Goals scored (last 5)9
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal90%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
15%2 goals65%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
5%3 goals20%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0%4 goals10%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal75%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
50%2 goals35%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
25%3 goals10%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0%4 goals0%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

70%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 20 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time15%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
5%Scored in both halves40%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
60%BTTS - last 580%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 1.75 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Harrogate Town - half-time state
15% leading40% draw45% trailing
Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per match (1st half)1.75
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.9
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.5
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
40%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
65%No goal before half-time35%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
45%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons
60%No goal after half-time35%
Harrogate TownMilton Keynes Dons

Harrogate Town - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

45% W25% D30% L
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Harrogate Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harrogate Town
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
1
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
3
6
16-30
7
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
5
4
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harrogate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Harrogate TownLigaMilton Keynes Dons
Average goals in match 2.452.68 3.10
Both teams scored 50%57% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%49% 65%
Clean sheets 20%24% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%71% 85%
Goal after half-time 75%76% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Harrogate TownYellow cardJack Lucas James Evans
  2. Milton Keynes DonsGoalAlexander Scott Gilbey
  3. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Tom CursonsOff: Conor McAleny
  4. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Joshua David FalkinghamOff: Benjamin Jake Fox
  5. Milton Keynes DonsGoalAlexander Scott GilbeyAssist: Jon Mellish
  6. Harrogate TownYellow cardTom Cursons
  7. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Aaron Evans Nemane
  8. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Lucas BarnesOff: Jack Levi Sutton

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Declan BourneMatches officiated: 9
4.56Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 211%Home wins33%Draws56%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Harrogate Town 0:4 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Harrogate Town score 0.90 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.90. The EFL League Two average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harrogate Town's matches and 70% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Harrogate Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The statistical background for Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.