Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors: match statistics

Solihull Moors have shown more consistent form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points compared with Harrogate Town’s 6. The visitors won 2 games, drew 2 and suffered just one defeat, while the hosts lost 3 times over the same period. Solihull’s advantage is also evident in the goal difference: they scored 8 goals and conceded 5, compared with Harrogate’s 7 goals scored and 7 conceded. Harrogate currently sit 13th, four places above their opponents, but the available home and away data from the current season is incomplete, so greater emphasis should be placed on recent form. A closely contested match is expected, but Solihull’s lower number of goals conceded and just one defeat in their last five outings give the visitors a slight edge.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as Harrogate Town saw this scenario in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Solihull Moors did so in 40%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.4, whereas the visitors scored 1.6 goals per match. However, Solihull’s defence allowed opponents an average of 1.76 xG, clearly above the 1.45 xG Harrogate have been producing recently, supporting the case for a home goal. Harrogate allowed opponents 1.62 xG, while Solihull created 1.15 xG, meaning the visitors also have a realistic route to scoring. The lack of seasonal data limits confidence in the prediction, but Harrogate’s 7:7 and Solihull’s 8:5 records across their five matches lean slightly more strongly towards both teams scoring. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is marginally favoured over BTTS - No, although the latter means that at least one team fails to score—it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The available data from the last five matches points to an open profile for both teams: Harrogate scored and conceded an average of 1.4 goals, while Solihull scored 1.6 goals per game. In total, this amounts to 27 goals across the teams’ last ten matches, averaging 2.7 goals per game. The xG figures support this signal: Harrogate created chances worth 1.45 xG but allowed opponents 1.62 xG, while Solihull, with 1.15 xG in attack, allowed their opponents as much as 1.76 xG. At least three goals were scored in 60% of the last five matches played by each team, although the Over 2.5 line remains more evenly balanced as a result. The strongest edge is with Over 1.5, as the projected total of 2.80 goals clearly exceeds the two-goal threshold.

The strongest signal is a cautious start: both teams were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, and neither went into the break trailing during that period. Harrogate averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with 1.2 for Solihull, although the visitors conceded just 0.2 first-half goals per match versus 0.4 for the hosts. After the interval, Solihull score an average of only 0.4 goals and draw the second half in 60% of their matches, which limits the likelihood of a decisive outcome after the break. Although the overall form slightly favours the visitors, who have lost just 20% of their last 5 matches compared with Harrogate’s 60% defeat rate, their 40% draw rate primarily points to an X/X scenario.