Harrogate Town vs Tamworth: match statistics
Harrogate Town vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harrogate Town played Tamworth in National League (England). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: CNG Stadium. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Harrogate Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tamworth: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harrogate Town scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tamworth scores 2.00 and concedes 2.67. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harrogate Town 83%, Tamworth 100%. Over 2.5: Harrogate Town 83%, Tamworth 100%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Tamworth has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.72. Harrogate Town: 13.3 shots per match, Tamworth: 17.0.
Match halves
Harrogate Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.83. Tamworth: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Harrogate Town: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tamworth: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Harrogate Town sit 2nd, while Tamworth are only 20th; the hosts have won 4 of their 6 league matches this season, compared with just 1 victory for the visitors. At home, Harrogate average 3 goals with an xG of 2.08, recording 16 shots and 7.67 shots on target per match—well above Tamworth’s away figures of 2 goals, 1.53 xG and 5.33 shots on target. The key factor is the visitors’ defensive weakness on the road, where they concede an average of 3.33 goals and allow opponents to create chances worth 1.87 xG. Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and have been beaten in 67% of their away fixtures, while Harrogate have recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last five appearances. The hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet, so Tamworth could get on the scoresheet, but Harrogate’s advantage in chance creation, possession (57% compared with 35%) and finishing should see them secure the win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: both Harrogate Town and Tamworth have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far this season, compared with the league average of 65%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts concede an average of 2.00 goals per match and Tamworth as many as 3.33. In their last five games, Harrogate have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Tamworth have scored 1.8 and allowed opponents 2.6 goals. Their attacking potential is further supported by xG: the hosts create an average of 2.36 xG this season, while the visitors have posted as much as 2.05 xG across their last five matches. The BTTS scenario is clearly more likely, as both teams score regularly and their defences consistently allow opponents to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of both teams clearly points to goals: Harrogate score an average of 2.0 goals, while Tamworth concede as many as 3.33 per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 2.36 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 1.87 xG. Tamworth should also contribute, as they score an average of 2.0 goals and Harrogate have conceded at least once in every match so far. In their last five games, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 100% of matches respectively, while Tamworth’s games produced an average of 4.4 goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have seen at least 2 goals in 100% of their matches this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet even once.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Harrogate victory, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while Tamworth were trailing at that stage in 60% of their games. Harrogate have a clear edge in chance quality: their average xG is 2.36 compared with 1.53 for the visitors, while the hosts average 20.67 shots and 7.33 shots on target, versus 13.33 and 5.33 for Tamworth. After the break, Harrogate have averaged 1.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded across their last five matches, while Tamworth have conceded an average of 1.0 goal in this period. The difference is further reinforced by current form: the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 2.0 goals scored, whereas the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 and concede 2.6 goals per game. Both teams have scored and conceded in 100% of their matches so far this season, making a balanced, high-scoring first half followed by Harrogate gaining the upper hand the most logical HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harrogate Town | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harrogate Town is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 0.8 pts / match - Tamworth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harrogate Town is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 2 goals / match - Tamworth
Harrogate Town is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Harrogate Town · 2.67 goals / match - Tamworth
Harrogate Town scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Tamworth scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harrogate Town
Over / Under - Tamworth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harrogate Town is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Harrogate Town · 0.5 pts / match - Tamworth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tamworth - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harrogate Town
Tamworth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Harrogate Town | Liga | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.04 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | • 17% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
The National League match finished Harrogate Town 3:1 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Harrogate Town score 2.50 goals per game on average and Tamworth 2.00. The National League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Harrogate Town's matches and 100% of Tamworth's.
What form are Harrogate Town and Tamworth in?
Over the last 5 games Harrogate Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tamworth 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.