Hartberg vs Grazer AK: match statistics
Hartberg shows a clearly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their home ground, while Grazer AK has very poor away results – only 11% wins and as much as 56% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1), scoring an average of 1.22 goals per match, while the visitors concede an average of 1.89 goals per away match with poor offensive efficiency (0.78 goals per match). Grazer AK fails to score in 44% of their away matches and has a disastrous away goal difference of -10. Hartberg boasts better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.94) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%), giving them an advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 and 1.0 points per match respectively), however, the home advantage and Hartberg's significantly better away statistics point to a home victory.
Hartberg vs Grazer AK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartberg played Grazer AK in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hartberg: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Grazer AK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartberg scores 1.42 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Grazer AK scores 1.05 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartberg 58%, Grazer AK 68%. Over 2.5: Hartberg 53%, Grazer AK 63%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Hartberg: 9.4 shots per match, Grazer AK: 9.7.
Match halves
Hartberg: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68. Grazer AK: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Hartberg: 61-75 (7 goals). Grazer AK: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hartberg shows a clearly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their home ground, while Grazer AK has very poor away results – only 11% wins and as much as 56% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1), scoring an average of 1.22 goals per match, while the visitors concede an average of 1.89 goals per away match with poor offensive efficiency (0.78 goals per match). Grazer AK fails to score in 44% of their away matches and has a disastrous away goal difference of -10. Hartberg boasts better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.94) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%), giving them an advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 and 1.0 points per match respectively), however, the home advantage and Hartberg's significantly better away statistics point to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartberg | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartberg is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hartberg · 1 pts / match - Grazer AK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hartberg is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.05 goals / match - Grazer AK
Hartberg is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.68 goals / match - Grazer AK
Hartberg scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Grazer AK scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hartberg keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartberg
Over / Under - Grazer AK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartberg is 171% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Hartberg · 0.68 pts / match - Grazer AK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 37%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartberg
Grazer AK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hartberg | Liga | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.65 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hartberg 0 - 1 - 0 Grazer AK. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
The Bundesliga match finished Hartberg 1:0 Grazer AK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Hartberg score 1.42 goals per game on average and Grazer AK 1.05. The Bundesliga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Hartberg's matches and 68% of Grazer AK's.
What form are Hartberg and Grazer AK in?
Over the last 5 games Hartberg have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Grazer AK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hartberg vs Grazer AK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.