Hartberg vs LASK Linz: match statistics
Hartberg vs LASK Linz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartberg played LASK Linz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Hartberg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. LASK Linz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartberg scores 1.21 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. LASK Linz scores 1.54 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartberg 50%, LASK Linz 57%. Over 2.5: Hartberg 43%, LASK Linz 54%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
LASK Linz has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.03. Hartberg: 9.3 shots per match, LASK Linz: 15.9.
Match halves
Hartberg: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. LASK Linz: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Hartberg: 16-30 (7 goals). LASK Linz: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (LASK). LASK have scored 43 goals this season versus Hartberg’s 34 and have netted 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 5. The visitors also create more chances — averaging 13.93 shots and 4.57 on target per away match versus Hartberg’s 9.79 and 3.57 at home. LASK’s average away xG is 1.53 compared to the hosts’ 1.12 xG at home, indicating higher quality chances for LASK. Hartberg, however, hold a home defensive edge: they concede only 1.14 goals per match and record 21% clean sheets, while LASK concede 1.57 away and have a 14% clean sheet rate, so a one-sided scoreline is less likely. Over the last 5 matches LASK average 1.6 points per game versus Hartberg’s 1.0, and FTS data shows the hosts fail to score in 29% of home games versus 21% for the visitors, which further supports LASK’s attacking upside. Considering 11 vs 5 goals in the last 5 matches, higher xG and substantially more shots for LASK, I assign probabilities: Away win 55%, Draw 25%, Hartberg win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes at 72% vs 28% because this season Hartberg has BTTS in 50% of matches and LASK in 64%, versus a league average of 56%. LASK has had BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (5/5), scoring 11 goals (2.2 per match) and conceding 1.8 on average, which strongly indicates matches with goals at both ends. Hartberg in their last 5 matches scored 5 and conceded 5 (1.0/1.0), and seasonally average 1.64 scored and 1.21 conceded, so they can both score and concede despite a 43% clean sheet rate this season. The combined average of both teams is 1.64+1.43=3.07 goals per match, above the league average of 2.69, and xG shows 1.87 for the home side and 1.53 for the visitors, confirming chance creation. Given these figures and LASK’s clear recent trend, the Yes selection is the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG indicates significant goal potential: xG for Hartberg is 1.87, for LASK 1.53, and after accounting for opposing xG (Hartberg 1.26, LASK 1.54) I obtain an expected 1.71 goals for the home side and 1.39 for the away side, totaling 3.10. Seasonally, Over 1.5 occurs frequently: 71% of Hartberg’s matches and 79% of LASK’s, which, combined with the expected lambda=3.10 and modeled via a Poisson distribution, produces roughly an 82% probability for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is also supported (seasonal Over 2.5: 50% Hartberg, 57% LASK; league 51%) and Poisson estimates about a 60% chance for Over 2.5, so it is plausible. The 3.5 line is less certain (seasonal Over 3.5: 36% and 43%, Poisson ≈38%), therefore the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hartberg holds an edge in attack and game control: at home they average 1.64 goals with an xG of 1.87, while LASK away averages 1.43 goals with an xG of 1.53 (xG difference +0.34). The home side win 57% of matches at home versus 36% away wins for the visitors, and Hartberg’s clean sheet rate is 43% compared to 14% for LASK, suggesting the hosts more often preserve results. Season-long both teams led at the break in 29% of matches, but in the last five games Hartberg led at half-time in 60% (3/5) while LASK only in 20% (1/5), giving the hosts an advantage in the first half. Hartberg also defends better after the break: they concede an average of 0.36 goals in the second half versus 0.64 for LASK and have 79% of second halves without conceding, so if they have a lead at the break they have a high chance to see out the victory. On this basis I recommend the HT/FT scenario 1/1 as the strongest (38% probability); alternatives are draw/draw (X/X 15%) or home lead at the break and draw at full-time (1/X 14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartberg | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LASK Linz is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hartberg · 1.6 pts / match - LASK Linz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LASK Linz is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.54 goals / match - LASK Linz
Hartberg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.39 goals / match - LASK Linz
Hartberg scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while LASK Linz keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
LASK Linz scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Hartberg keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartberg
Over / Under - LASK Linz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartberg is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Hartberg · 1.18 pts / match - LASK Linz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
LASK Linz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartberg
LASK Linz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hartberg | Liga | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hartberg 0 - 3 - 0 LASK Linz. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartberg vs LASK Linz?
The Bundesliga match finished Hartberg 1:5 LASK Linz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartberg and LASK Linz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hartberg won 0, LASK Linz won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartberg vs LASK Linz?
Hartberg score 1.21 goals per game on average and LASK Linz 1.54. The Bundesliga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hartberg's matches and 57% of LASK Linz's.
What form are Hartberg and LASK Linz in?
Over the last 5 games Hartberg have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and LASK Linz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartberg vs LASK Linz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.