Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: match statistics
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartberg play Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Hartberg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sturm Graz: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartberg scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.59 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartberg 53%, Sturm Graz 56%. Over 2.5: Hartberg 47%, Sturm Graz 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.03. Hartberg: 9.2 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 15.7.
Match halves
Hartberg: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.59. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Hartberg: 16-30 (8 goals). Sturm Graz: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Sturm Graz are top of the table (1st) and on the road they average 2.00 goals with xG 1.64 and a positive goal difference of +14, while Hartberg score only 1.13 goals at home with xG 1.11 and have a home goal difference of -4. Offensively the visitors also dominate in chances — 14.73 average shots and 5.07 shots on target per game with a conversion rate of 14% versus 9.53 shots and 3.47 on target for the hosts with a 12% conversion. Hartberg’s last 5 matches show 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (5 scored, 8 conceded), whereas Sturm’s last 5 are 0 wins and 5 draws (4-4), indicating the visitors have been taking more points via draws recently but remain dangerous. Defensively the visitors have a clear advantage: Sturm concede 1.07 goals away vs Hartberg’s 1.40 conceded at home, and clean sheet percentage is 7% for Sturm compared to 27% for Hartberg. Considering the xG advantage (1.64 vs 1.11), the superiority in shots and the goal difference (+14 vs -4), I favor a Sturm Graz victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartberg | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hartberg · 1.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.59 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Hartberg · 1.09 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Hartberg scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Sturm Graz scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Hartberg keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hartberg
Over / Under — Sturm Graz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartberg is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Hartberg · 1.56 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartberg
Sturm Graz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hartberg | Liga | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.70 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hartberg 0 - 1 - 2 Sturm Graz. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
The Bundesliga match finished Hartberg 2:4 Sturm Graz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartberg and Sturm Graz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hartberg won 0, Sturm Graz won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Hartberg score 1.25 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.59. The Bundesliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hartberg's matches and 56% of Sturm Graz's.
What form are Hartberg and Sturm Graz in?
Over the last 5 games Hartberg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sturm Graz 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
The statistical background for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.