Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC: match statistics
Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartford Athletic played Detroit City FC in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hartford Athletic: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Detroit City FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartford Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Detroit City FC scores 1.29 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartford Athletic 29%, Detroit City FC 43%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 57%, Detroit City FC 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Detroit City FC has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.32. Hartford Athletic: 10.9 shots per match, Detroit City FC: 15.1.
Match halves
Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Detroit City FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Hartford Athletic: 31-45+ (3 goals). Detroit City FC: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2). Detroit shows superior offensive form and points production: the visitors have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches while Hartford failed to score in that span; over the last 5 games Detroit averages 1.4 points per match versus Hartford’s 0.6. Defensively Detroit also looks more solid — Hartford concedes 2.0 goals on average at home, while Detroit concedes 1.33 goals in away matches. The visitors create more chances (avg. 15 shots per match and xG 1.62 versus the hosts’ 10.67 shots and xG 1.5), and the hosts struggle to finish: 67% of Hartford’s home games end with them failing to score and they have no home wins (0% wins). Therefore I assess the probabilities as: Detroit win 55%, draw 25%, Hartford win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS (No), because key home signals strongly favor a clean sheet: Hartford has 75% clean sheets this season and concedes only 0.25 goals per game on average. Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.0 goals and 0% BTTS in the last 5), which significantly reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Detroit posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and 60% in the last 5 games and creates xG 1.62 per match, but their conversion is only 4% and they average 0.67 goals per game, so despite generating chances they do not necessarily finish them. Considering the league BTTS level of 55% versus the home side’s 75% CS and Hartford’s five-game scoreless run, the No scenario appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows: home xG 1.64 versus Detroit's defensive xG 1.52 gives a preliminary 1.58 expected goals for Hartford, while away xG 1.62 versus Hartford's defensive xG 0.99 gives 1.31 for Detroit. Detroit actually scores only 0.67 goals per game despite xG 1.62 (shot conversion 4%), and Hartford averages 1.75 goals and concedes 0.25 on average with 75% clean sheets; therefore I averaged xG and reality to a forecast of 1.66 for the home side and 0.99 for the away side (total 2.65). Hartford has a form problem (0 goals in the last 5), while Detroit scored 5 goals in the last 5, which increases uncertainty for individual away strikes. A Poisson distribution with total lambda=2.65 yields about a 74% chance of Over 1.5, about 49% for Over 2.5 and about 28% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is on Over 1.5. Consequently I recommend betting Over 1.5 (side: over, line: 1.5) as the most statistically justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hartford has a clear home advantage: seasonally they average 1.75 goals per game versus Detroit’s 0.67, and they concede only 0.25 goals at home (1.75 vs 0.67 and 0.25 vs 1.33), producing a strong offensive and defensive profile. At half-time the home side led in 2 of 4 matches (50%) and average 1.0 goal by the break, while Detroit averages 0.0 at half-time; hosts concede 0.25 goals to the break versus 0.67 for the visitors. Hartford keeps a clean sheet at home in 75% of matches and has better finishing efficiency (12% vs 4%), and their second-half statistics indicate that a lead at the break converts to a full-time win in roughly 75% of cases and a draw in 25%. On this basis I assigned the highest weight to the scenario of the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1 — 38%); the second signal is a draw at half-time and Hartford winning at full-time (X/1 — 30%); an away win is effectively ruled out.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Detroit City FC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 2 pts / match - Detroit City FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Detroit City FC is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.29 goals / match - Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 0.71 goals / match - Detroit City FC
Hartford Athletic scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Detroit City FC keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Detroit City FC scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
Over / Under - Detroit City FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.29 pts / match - Detroit City FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Detroit City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartford Athletic
Detroit City FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 56% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 28% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Hartford Athletic 2 - 2 - 0 Detroit City FC. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 2:1 Detroit City FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Detroit City FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 2, Detroit City FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
Hartford Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Detroit City FC 1.29. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 43% of Detroit City FC's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Detroit City FC in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Detroit City FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
The statistical background for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.