Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Hartford Athletic is showing solid form with three wins in their last five matches and holds a high 2nd place in the table. The hosts demonstrate strong offensive efficiency (9 goals in the last 5 games) and defensive solidity (only 1 goal conceded this season). Indy Eleven, despite good overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), performs significantly worse away from home – a 100% loss record in away matches this season and no goals scored in those games. The visitors' xG statistics (1.95 xG For vs 1.51 xG Against) suggest offensive potential, but their actual away results indicate difficulties in translating that into concrete outcomes. Hartford Athletic's home advantage combined with Indy Eleven's evident away weakness point to a home win, although the visitors might put up resistance thanks to their recent overall good form.
Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartford Athletic played Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Hartford Athletic: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Indy Eleven: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartford Athletic scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Indy Eleven scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartford Athletic 33%, Indy Eleven 50%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 67%, Indy Eleven 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Indy Eleven has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.19. Hartford Athletic: 10.7 shots per match, Indy Eleven: 18.0.
Match halves
Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Indy Eleven: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Hartford Athletic: 31-45+ (2 goals). Indy Eleven: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hartford Athletic is showing solid form with three wins in their last five matches and holds a high 2nd place in the table. The hosts demonstrate strong offensive efficiency (9 goals in the last 5 games) and defensive solidity (only 1 goal conceded this season). Indy Eleven, despite good overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), performs significantly worse away from home – a 100% loss record in away matches this season and no goals scored in those games. The visitors' xG statistics (1.95 xG For vs 1.51 xG Against) suggest offensive potential, but their actual away results indicate difficulties in translating that into concrete outcomes. Hartford Athletic's home advantage combined with Indy Eleven's evident away weakness point to a home win, although the visitors might put up resistance thanks to their recent overall good form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Hartford has a very strong BTTS profile at the start of the season (100% BTTS, 0% clean sheets) while also conceding a high volume of quality chances (xG against 2.10). Indy Eleven, despite a poor seasonal offensive record (0% BTTS and 100% FTS), generates solid creation numbers (xG for 1.95, 18 shots and 4 on target per match), suggesting that finishing has been the primary issue. The last 5 matches for both sides indicate goals for both teams more often than Indy's short seasonal sample suggests (BTTS: 40% Hartford and 60% Indy; goals: 9–5 and 8–5). Furthermore, neither team has kept a clean sheet this season (0% CS), increasing the likelihood that both sides will score. Collectively, this gives a slight edge to the BTTS 'Yes' scenario, although Indy's finishing variability remains a risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model supports a scenario of at least 2 goals, as both teams generate numerous chances: Hartford averages 1.86 xG with 18 shots and as many as 7 on target per game, while Indy Eleven averages 1.95 xG with a similar shot volume. Defensively, Hartford concedes a high 2.10 xG against, which raises the expected goals for the visitors despite their weaker finishing metrics (4 shots on target and 0% conversion in the seasonal data). Trends from the last 5 matches also favor the over: Over 2.5 occurred in 60% of Hartford's matches and 80% of Indy's matches, and the average GF/GA from their last5 suggests games around 3 goals. Simultaneously, the risk for higher lines stems from ambiguous data on Indy's efficiency (100% FTS and 0% conversion), which is why Over 3.5 has a notably lower edge. The strongest and most reliable play is Over 1.5, aligned with the predicted total of 3.20 goals and both sides' chance-creation profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal supports the 1/1 scenario, as Hartford has a 100% win rate and 3.0 PPG this season, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, while Indy has a 0% win rate, 0.0 PPG, and 0.0 goals scored. In half-time data, Hartford has led at the break in 100% of their matches, with an HT record of 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, whereas Indy has trailed at half-time in 100% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.0 goals in the first half. Hartford's superiority is also evident in chance quality and finishing: 7.0 shots on target per match and an 11% conversion rate, compared to Indy's 0% conversion. However, Indy's xG (1.95) is not low, and in the last 5 matches, both teams have a similar win rate (60% each), which increases the likelihood of the X/1 and 1/X variants. Nevertheless, the combination of Hartford's first-half dominance and Indy's very poor seasonal goal metrics makes 1/1 the most probable Half-Time/Full-Time outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartford Athletic is 55% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.5 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hartford Athletic is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Hartford Athletic is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Hartford Athletic scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Indy Eleven scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.5 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartford Athletic
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 86% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Hartford Athletic 0 - 2 - 2 Indy Eleven. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 2:2 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Indy Eleven?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 0, Indy Eleven won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven?
Hartford Athletic score 1.67 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 50% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Indy Eleven 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven?
The statistical background for Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.