Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United: match statistics
Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartford Athletic played Loudoun United in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hartford Athletic: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Loudoun United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartford Athletic scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Loudoun United scores 1.60 and concedes 2.20. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartford Athletic 33%, Loudoun United 80%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 67%, Loudoun United 80%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hartford Athletic has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.18. Hartford Athletic: 10.8 shots per match, Loudoun United: 9.6.
Match halves
Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Loudoun United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Hartford Athletic: 31-45+ (3 goals). Loudoun United: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win: Hartford holds a clear advantage in chance creation — home average xG is 1.42 versus Loudoun’s 0.65 xG on the road, while average shots 10.5 vs 6 and 4 shots on target for the hosts versus 1 on target for the visitors confirm a higher attacking intensity from Hartford. Additionally, Hartford maintains higher possession (54% vs 46%), which should translate into control and more scoring opportunities. Both teams, however, have serious defensive issues — the hosts concede an average of 3.0 goals in home matches, and Loudoun also concedes 3.0 away; Loudoun’s opponents generate an average of 2.48 xG, indicating high-quality chances against them. Loudoun is more efficient with fewer attempts (conversion 17% vs hosts’ 10%) and scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Hartford’s 4, but they have yet to win away (100% losses), which weakens their realistic chances. Considering Hartford’s edge in xG and shot volume and the defensive weaknesses of both sides, I estimate the probability of a home win at 60%, draw 20%, and away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (Both Teams To Score - Yes) because the seasonal BTTS rate is 75% for Hartford and 100% for Loudoun, versus a league average of 50%, so both teams are clearly above average. Both defensive units are underperforming: Hartford concedes 2.0 goals per game, Loudoun 3.0, with the visitors having 0% clean sheets and the hosts only 25%. In attack Hartford averages 1.75 goals scored and xG 1.32 with 3.5 shots on target per match; Loudoun has 1.0 goals, xG 0.65 and 1.0 shots on target. Despite the lower xG, the visitors maintain a seasonal BTTS of 100%; in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for Hartford and 60% for Loudoun. Additionally both teams show a high percentage of games over 2.5 goals (75% and 100%), and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 4 goals and the visitors 6, while each side conceded 9, which indicates an open, high-scoring encounter. Based on these specific figures (75% vs 100% BTTS, 2.0 vs 3.0 conceded, xG 1.32 vs 0.65) I assess the BTTS probability at 85% and recommend a 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG and defensive data I estimate expected goals for Hartford at 1.90 (xG_for_home 1.32 vs xG_against_away 2.48 -> (1.32+2.48)/2 = 1.90) and for Loudoun at 1.26 (xG_for_away 0.65 vs xG_against_home 1.87 -> 1.26), totaling 3.16. Hartford averages 10.5 shots and 3.5 on target and scores 1.75 goals per season, while Loudoun averages 6.0 shots, has xG_for 0.65 and concedes 3.0 goals per season, which increases the likelihood of home goals. Seasonal percentages confirm the pair’s offensive profile: Over 2.5 occurred in Hartford matches at 75% and in Loudoun matches at 100%, and BTTS is 75% and 100% respectively. A Poisson model with total lambda ≈3.16 yields P(Over1.5)≈82%, P(Over2.5)≈61% and P(Over3.5)≈39%; given the high seasonal Over1.5 (75%/100%) and Over2.5 (75%/100%) rates I uplift estimates to P(Over1.5)≈88% and P(Over2.5)≈70%, while leaving Over3.5 around 39%. Best play is OVER 2.5 due to total xG ≈3.16, high season Over2.5 percentages (75% and 100%) and a very high BTTS rate.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). Hartford records 75% draws this season (drawPercentage_home = 75.0) and 100% draws at the break (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0), while Loudoun has no wins (losePercentage_away = 100.0), which favors a shared points outcome. The home side averages 1.0 goals before the break versus 0.0 for the away team (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.0 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0) and 8 first-half goals compared to 1 for Loudoun (GoalsHT_home = 8.0 vs GoalsHT_away = 1.0), so the first half often finishes level with goals. xG shows Hartford superiority 1.32 to 0.65 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.32 vs xg_for_avg_away = 0.65) and 3.5 shots on target to 1.0 (shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 3.5 vs shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 1.0), indicating the hosts create more chances. However, Loudoun concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match (seasonConcededAVG_away = 3.0) and both teams frequently score (seasonBTTSPercentage_home = 75.0 and seasonBTTSPercentage_away = 100.0), therefore a draw with exchanged goals is most likely and I select X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartford Athletic is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 0.6 pts / match - Loudoun United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Loudoun United is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.6 goals / match - Loudoun United
Hartford Athletic is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 2.2 goals / match - Loudoun United
Hartford Athletic scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Loudoun United scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
Over / Under - Loudoun United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 129% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 0.8 pts / match - Loudoun United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Loudoun United - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartford Athletic
Loudoun United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 51% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 49% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Hartford Athletic 1 - 0 - 3 Loudoun United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?
The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 0:0 Loudoun United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Loudoun United?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 1, Loudoun United won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?
Hartford Athletic score 1.17 goals per game on average and Loudoun United 1.60. The USL Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 80% of Loudoun United's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Loudoun United in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Loudoun United 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.