Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: match statistics
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Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartford Athletic play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 September 2026.
Current form
Hartford Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartford Athletic scores 0.80 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartford Athletic 27%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 40%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.37. Hartford Athletic: 11.1 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Hartford Athletic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 104% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City
Hartford Athletic is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Hartford Athletic scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartford Athletic
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Hartford Athletic 1 - 1 - 3 Louisville City. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do Hartford Athletic and Louisville City play?
Hartford Athletic face Louisville City on 25 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Louisville City?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 1, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic score 0.80 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.