Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC: match statistics
Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartford Athletic play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 9 July 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Dillon Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Hartford Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartford Athletic scores 0.80 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartford Athletic 27%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 40%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hartford Athletic has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.20. Hartford Athletic: 11.1 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.
Match halves
Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Hartford Athletic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win (2) based on Orange County’s clear offensive superiority: they sit 2nd in the table and have 23 goals this season versus Hartford’s 10. Away, Orange averages 1.78 goals per game and has never had a match without scoring (percentage of matches without a goal 0%), while their shot conversion is 17% compared to just 6% for Hartford at home, giving them an edge in finishing chances. Hartford at home generates higher expected goals (average xG 1.49) and posts 51% possession, but this only translates to 0.67 goals per game and in 67% of home matches they fail to score, which significantly limits their real goal threat. Defensively the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, while Orange concedes 1.33 goals away and hold a positive away goal difference of +4; therefore I expect an open game favoring the more clinical visitors. I assess probabilities as 45% for Orange, 40% for a draw and 15% for Hartford.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orange County SC is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC
Hartford Athletic is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC
Hartford Athletic scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hartford Athletic
Over / Under — Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orange County SC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartford Athletic
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 2:2 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?
Hartford Athletic score 0.80 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC?
The statistical background for Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


