United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 08 September 2026

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hartford Athletic play Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Hartford Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hartford Athletic scores 0.80 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hartford Athletic 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%. Over 2.5: Hartford Athletic 40%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.37. Hartford Athletic: 11.1 shots per match, Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0.

Match halves

Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Hartford Athletic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.40)
(2.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.8Goals scored / match1.56
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.93Goals conceded / match0.81
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
46%Average possession54%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
3.67Shots on target / match4.63
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.13Shots per match16
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
3.67Shots on target4.63
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
7.2%Shot conversion9.8%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
46%Possession54%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
1.37xG for1.77
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
1.57xG against1.14
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

Shooting quality

Hartford Athletic: BalancedTampa Bay Rowdies: Attacking
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
Accuracy (shots on target)33%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hartford Athletic
WDLDL
Season result split
27% W47% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-4
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-5-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLWLD
Season result split
56% W31% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 95% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 1.56 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Hartford Athletic · 0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Hartford Athletic scoring profile: more difficult

Hartford Athletic scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).

Tampa Bay Rowdies scoring profile: very strong

Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

12Goals scored (season)25
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
14Goals conceded (season)13
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
1.73Average goals in match2.38
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal94%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
33%2 goals44%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
7%3 goals19%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0%4 goals0%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal50%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
27%2 goals19%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
7%3 goals6%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
7%4 goals6%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

27%
Hartford Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 15 matches
44%
Tampa Bay Rowdies - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time6%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
13%Scored in both halves19%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
20%BTTS - last 560%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Hartford Athletic · 2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Hartford Athletic - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Tampa Bay Rowdies - half-time state
56% leading31% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)2
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.81
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.13
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
73%Clean sheet before half-time81%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
73%No goal before half-time44%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
60%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
73%No goal after half-time44%
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies

Hartford Athletic - second-half results

20% W47% R33% P
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hartford Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tampa Bay Rowdies - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hartford Athletic
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
73%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hartford Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Hartford AthleticLigaTampa Bay Rowdies
Average goals in match 1.732.79 2.38
Both teams scored 27%58% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 38%
Clean sheets 47%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 53%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 53%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Hartford Athletic 1 - 1 - 3 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 : 1
Hartford Athletic
Tampa Bay Rowdies
3 : 2
Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2 : 2
Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Tampa Bay Rowdies

FAQ

When do Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay Rowdies play?

Hartford Athletic face Tampa Bay Rowdies on 12 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay Rowdies?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 1, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Hartford Athletic score 0.80 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.

What form are Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?

Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.