England - National LeagueThe Suit Direct StadiumData current as of 22 October 2026

Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hartlepool United play AFC Hornchurch in National League (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: The Suit Direct Stadium.

Current form

Hartlepool United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. AFC Hornchurch: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hartlepool United scores 0.92 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. AFC Hornchurch scores 1.15 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hartlepool United 38%, AFC Hornchurch 31%. Over 2.5: Hartlepool United 38%, AFC Hornchurch 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Hartlepool United has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.22. Hartlepool United: 8.4 shots per match, AFC Hornchurch: 8.8.

Match halves

Hartlepool United: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.54. AFC Hornchurch: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Hartlepool United: 31-45+ (4 goals). AFC Hornchurch: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.08)
(3.30)
(3.11)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0.92Goals scored / match1.15
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
1.46Goals conceded / match1.46
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
48%Average possession37%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
3.62Shots on target / match3.54
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.38Shots per match8.85
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
3.62Shots on target3.54
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
11%Shot conversion13%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
48%Possession37%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
1.26xG for1.22
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
1.56xG against1.62
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

Shooting quality

Hartlepool United: BalancedAFC Hornchurch: Counter-attacking
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
Accuracy (shots on target)43%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Hornchurch is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Hartlepool United · 1.8 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch

Hartlepool United
LLLLW
Season result split
31% W0% D69% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-9
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
AFC Hornchurch
WLWLW
Season result split
54% W0% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-6
1.62 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AFC Hornchurch is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hartlepool United · 1.15 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch

Hartlepool United scoring profile: strong

Hartlepool United scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

AFC Hornchurch scoring profile: strong

AFC Hornchurch scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Hartlepool United keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

12Goals scored (season)15
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
19Goals conceded (season)19
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
2.38Average goals in match2.62
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal62%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
15%2 goals38%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
8%3 goals15%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
8%4 goals0%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal69%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
46%2 goals38%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
15%3 goals31%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
8%4 goals8%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
Hartlepool United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 13 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
15%Scored in both halves23%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS31%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
60%BTTS - last 520%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hartlepool United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Hartlepool United · 0.77 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch

Hartlepool United - half-time state
15% leading46% draw38% trailing
AFC Hornchurch - half-time state
15% leading31% draw54% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)0.77
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
1Average goals (1st half)1.15
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
54%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
62%No goal before half-time69%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.62
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.46
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
38%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch
62%No goal after half-time46%
Hartlepool UnitedAFC Hornchurch

Hartlepool United - second-half results

31% W15% D54% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Hornchurch - second-half results

46% W23% D31% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding360%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hartlepool United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
AFC Hornchurch - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hartlepool United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AFC Hornchurch
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hartlepool United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

AFC Hornchurch

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Hartlepool UnitedLigaAFC Hornchurch
Average goals in match▼ 2.383.10▼ 2.62
Both teams scored▼ 38%63%▼ 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%61%• 62%
Clean sheets▲ 23%19%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 62%74%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▼ 85%87%▼ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Hartlepool United and AFC Hornchurch play?

Hartlepool United face AFC Hornchurch on 24 October 2026 in National League at The Suit Direct Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Hartlepool United score 0.92 goals per game on average and AFC Hornchurch 1.15. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Hartlepool United's matches and 31% of AFC Hornchurch's.

What form are Hartlepool United and AFC Hornchurch in?

Over the last 5 games Hartlepool United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and AFC Hornchurch 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.