Haugesund vs Sogndal: match statistics

Haugesund are the league leaders at home, having won 78% of their matches on home soil, while Sogndal have won just 10% of their away games and lost 60% of them. In front of their home crowd, the hosts average 3.22 goals per match from 7.33 shots on target, whereas the visitors concede as many as 2.90 goals away from home and have kept no clean sheets. The chance-quality advantage also belongs to Haugesund: their average home xG stands at 1.99, while Sogndal allow opponents 1.97 xG away from home. The hosts remain in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 18 goals during that run, while Sogndal have recorded only 2 wins in the same period. The visitors can still pose a threat, having scored 14 goals in their last five matches, but their poor away defensive record and significantly lower conversion rate—10% compared with Haugesund’s 19%—strongly favor the home side.

BTTS - Yes looks favorable, as both teams have recorded this scenario frequently this season: Haugesund in 60% of matches and Sogndal in 70%, compared with the league average of 63%. The hosts score an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Sogndal concede as many as 2.9, which significantly strengthens Haugesund’s chances of scoring. The visitors have an xG of 1.62, while Haugesund’s defense allows opponents 1.96 xG, so a Sogndal goal is also well supported by the numbers. Particularly significant is the fact that Sogndal have kept no clean sheets, whereas Haugesund have done so in only 20% of their matches. Recent form remains attacking, with the teams averaging 3.6 and 2.8 goals respectively across their previous five appearances, making a goal for both sides more likely than BTTS - No. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.

The match profile clearly points to goals: Haugesund score an average of 2.2 goals, while Sogndal concede as many as 2.9 goals per game. Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches this season, while over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 70% and 90% of their respective games. The hosts create an average of 1.78 xG, whereas the visitors allow opponents 1.97 xG, supporting a projection of around 2.00 goals for Haugesund. In their last five matches, the teams have scored an average total of 6.4 goals, making Over 1.5 the most reliable selection, with a strong margin above the required two goals.

Haugesund were leading at half-time in 6 of their last 10 matches, while Sogndal were behind at the break in as many as 7 of 10 fixtures. The hosts average 1.3 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors, while Sogndal concede an average of 1.6 goals in the first half. Haugesund’s superiority is also evident across the full match: they win 50% of their games and earn 1.6 points per match, compared with Sogndal’s 10% win rate and 0.6 points per game. Recent form further supports the hosts, who have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals, with an xG of 1.78 while their opponents concede 1.97 xG. Sogndal are capable of scoring after the break, but their lack of clean sheets this season and an average of 2.9 goals conceded per match strengthen the scenario of Haugesund maintaining their lead until full-time. Therefore, the recommended HT/FT pick is 1/1.