Havadar vs Fard Alborz: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw in this match. Havadar at home has a very high draw percentage (64%), and in their last 5 home matches, they have recorded as many as 4 draws. Fard Alborz displays an even more defensive style away from home with 70% draws and an impressive 70% clean sheets, conceding on average just 0.3 goals per match. The hosts have a slight advantage in xG (1.11 vs 0.7), but their poor conversion rate (14%) and 55% of matches without scoring a goal limit their offensive potential. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches confirms the tendency for draws - Havadar with 3 draws and Fard Alborz with 4 draws and only 1 win. Considering the defensive solidity of the visitors and the scoring problems of the hosts, a 0:0 or 1:1 draw seems the most likely outcome.
Havadar vs Fard Alborz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Havadar played Fard Alborz in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Havadar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Fard Alborz: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Havadar scores 0.86 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Fard Alborz scores 0.45 and concedes 0.32. League average: 1.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Havadar 27%, Fard Alborz 18%. Over 2.5: Havadar 18%, Fard Alborz 5%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Havadar has higher xG: 0.95 vs 0.84. Havadar: 2.9 shots per match, Fard Alborz: 3.2.
Match halves
Havadar: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Fard Alborz: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.23.
Goals by minute
Havadar: 46-60 (5 goals). Fard Alborz: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.54 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw in this match. Havadar at home has a very high draw percentage (64%), and in their last 5 home matches, they have recorded as many as 4 draws. Fard Alborz displays an even more defensive style away from home with 70% draws and an impressive 70% clean sheets, conceding on average just 0.3 goals per match. The hosts have a slight advantage in xG (1.11 vs 0.7), but their poor conversion rate (14%) and 55% of matches without scoring a goal limit their offensive potential. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches confirms the tendency for draws - Havadar with 3 draws and Fard Alborz with 4 draws and only 1 win. Considering the defensive solidity of the visitors and the scoring problems of the hosts, a 0:0 or 1:1 draw seems the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Havadar | Fard Alborz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.95 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fard Alborz is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Havadar · 1.4 pts / match - Fard Alborz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havadar is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Havadar · 0.45 goals / match - Fard Alborz
Fard Alborz is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Havadar · 0.32 goals / match - Fard Alborz
Havadar scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Fard Alborz keeps a clean sheet in 68% (15 of 22 matches).
Fard Alborz scores in 36% of matches (8 of 22 matches), while Havadar keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havadar
Over / Under - Fard Alborz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fard Alborz is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Havadar · 1.27 pts / match - Fard Alborz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havadar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fard Alborz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Havadar
Fard Alborz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Havadar | Liga | Fard Alborz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.55 | 1.54 | ▼ 0.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 5% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 45% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HavadarGoalAmin Ghaseminejad
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Havadar 1 - 0 - 0 Fard Alborz. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
The Azadegan League match finished Havadar 1:0 Fard Alborz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Havadar score 0.86 goals per game on average and Fard Alborz 0.45. The Azadegan League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Havadar's matches and 18% of Fard Alborz's.
What form are Havadar and Fard Alborz in?
Over the last 5 games Havadar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fard Alborz 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
The statistical background for Havadar vs Fard Alborz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.