Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran: match statistics
Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Havadar played Naft Gachsaran in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 11 July 2026. Venue: Shohadaye Noushabad Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Havadar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Naft Gachsaran: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Havadar scores 0.94 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. Naft Gachsaran scores 0.72 and concedes 1.16. League average: 1.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Havadar 25%, Naft Gachsaran 44%. Over 2.5: Havadar 16%, Naft Gachsaran 31%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Havadar has higher xG: 0.91 vs 0.66. Havadar: 2.6 shots per match, Naft Gachsaran: 0.6.
Match halves
Havadar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.34. Naft Gachsaran: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
Havadar: 31-45+ (8 goals). Naft Gachsaran: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.56 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havadar is the clear favorite: they sit 6th in the table and have 11 wins this season versus Naft’s 7, with a goal difference of 30 scored and 17 conceded compared to the visitors’ 23 scored and 37 conceded. In the last five matches the home side have scored 8 goals, won 3 and drawn 2 (an average of 2.2 points per game), while Naft have scored only 2 goals, have no wins and record 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). In chance creation Havadar average 3.82 shots on target and 7 shots per home game, have a conversion rate of 21% and xG 1.06, whereas the visitors average 1.6 on target, 4 shots, 13% conversion and xG 0.66. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.56 goals per home match and keep 56% clean sheets, while Naft concede 1.25 goals away with 31% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 11 goals versus 2 for Havadar. Considering the advantage in xG, shots on target and form (2.2 pts vs 0.2 pts), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally Havadar averages 0.75 goals scored and concedes 1.06 per match, while Naft Gachsaran scores 0.69 and concedes 1.25, which together yields only 1.44 goals per match by average goals scored. In the last 5 matches Havadar scored 8 goals (1.6 per match) and conceded 2 (0.4 per match), whereas Naft has only 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per match) and conceded 11 (2.2 per match). Seasonal BTTS rate is 31% for Havadar and 56% for Naft, but in the last 5 matches BTTS stood at 40% and 20%, suggesting current form reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, the league BTTS level is only 30%, and the clean sheet rate in the league reaches 93%, which favors matches with at least one team keeping a clean sheet. Considering Naft’s poor finishing (0.4 goals recently), Havadar’s solid defense in the last 5 (only 2 conceded) and league trends, I tip No Goal / BTTS - No with an estimated probability of around 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combining recent form and seasonal indicators yields expected goals of 1.45 for Havadar and 0.64 for Naft, a total of 2.09 goals. Havadar scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 per match), while Naft conceded 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 per match), and seasonally both teams have 63% of matches over 1.5 goals. A Poisson distribution with lambda=2.09 gives about a 62% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about a 35% chance of Over 2.5, which is close to the seasonal Over 2.5 rate of 31%. Additionally, Naft has xG_for 0.66 and concedes on average 1.38 xG, while Havadar in the last 5 has xG_for 0.8 and form "ddwww", favoring the home side to create chances. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (over) with an estimated probability of around 62%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor Havadar: the hosts led at the break in 5 matches (31% of the season), and in the last 5 fixtures they held a lead at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), with an average first-half goals of 1.2 for Havadar versus 0.0 for Naft. Naft Gachsaran has only a 6% win rate this season and has not won in their last 5 matches (0%), conceding an average of 2.2 goals over that period, which significantly undermines their chances of maintaining a lead. Over a longer recent sample Havadar has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the last 5 matches, while Naft averages 0.4 scored and 2.2 conceded; season points per game are 1.38 for Havadar at home vs. 0.75 for Naft away. Considering these specific figures and the league’s low scoring environment (an average of 1.56 goals per match and 93% of games featuring a clean sheet), the strongest scenario is Havadar leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), which I assess at roughly 48%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Havadar | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | -34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.36 | 1.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.91 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Havadar is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Havadar · 0.2 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havadar is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Havadar · 0.72 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran
Havadar is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.53 goals / match - Havadar · 1.16 goals / match - Naft Gachsaran
Havadar scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Naft Gachsaran keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
Naft Gachsaran scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Havadar keeps a clean sheet in 63% (20 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havadar
Over / Under - Naft Gachsaran
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Havadar is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Havadar · 1.19 pts / match - Naft Gachsaran
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havadar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Naft Gachsaran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Havadar
Naft Gachsaran
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Havadar | Liga | Naft Gachsaran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.47 | 1.56 | ▲ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HavadarGoalSaeid Gholamalibeigi
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Havadar 0 - 1 - 0 Naft Gachsaran. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
The Azadegan League match finished Havadar 2:2 Naft Gachsaran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
Havadar score 0.94 goals per game on average and Naft Gachsaran 0.72. The Azadegan League average is 1.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Havadar's matches and 44% of Naft Gachsaran's.
What form are Havadar and Naft Gachsaran in?
Over the last 5 games Havadar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Naft Gachsaran 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran?
The statistical background for Havadar vs Naft Gachsaran — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.