Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town: match statistics
Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Havant & Waterlooville played Basingstoke Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Havant & Waterlooville: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Basingstoke Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Havant & Waterlooville scores 1.20 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Basingstoke Town scores 1.80 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Havant & Waterlooville 60%, Basingstoke Town 80%. Over 2.5: Havant & Waterlooville 50%, Basingstoke Town 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Basingstoke Town has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.47. Havant & Waterlooville: 4.3 shots per match, Basingstoke Town: 1.5.
Match halves
Havant & Waterlooville: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80. Basingstoke Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Havant & Waterlooville: 76-90+ (4 goals). Basingstoke Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havant & Waterlooville hold a slight edge thanks to home advantage: they create chances worth an average xG of 1.54, while Basingstoke Town concede up to 1.79 xG away from home. The visitors do score 1.6 goals per away match, compared with the hosts’ 1.0 at home, but they also concede more—1.8 versus 1.4. Both teams’ recent form limits confidence in the prediction: Havant have picked up just one point from their last five matches, while Basingstoke have claimed two. The hosts have struggled to finish chances, failing to score in 40% of their home matches despite averaging 13.67 shots per game. However, their superior chance quality makes Havant the narrow pick to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: this has occurred in 75% of Havant & Waterlooville’s matches and 80% of Basingstoke Town’s, compared with 60% league-wide. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match and the visitors 1.6, while conceding 1.5 and 1.8 respectively, which favors both teams getting on the scoresheet. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of those games. The visitors’ recent form weakens the signal: they averaged just 0.6 goals across five matches, with an xG of 0.58, so the chance of at least one side failing to score remains significant. Despite this, the seasonal data and both teams’ tendency to concede goals support a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 75% of Havant & Waterlooville’s matches and 100% of Basingstoke’s, making this line the strongest indicator. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while the visitors average 1.6 and 1.8 respectively, pointing to at least two goals. Both teams scored in every match included in the season statistics, although their scoring averages fell to 1.0 and 0.6 goals in their last five games. This downturn reduces confidence in higher goal lines: Over 3.5 goals landed in just 25% of the hosts’ matches and 20% of the visitors’. With 2.7 goals projected in total, Over 1.5 is therefore a stronger pick than backing the more demanding Over 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Havant & Waterlooville leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to full time, although the signal is not strong. Basingstoke Town were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 5 away matches, and failed to score before the break in their last 5 games, going into half-time behind on 4 occasions. The overall match record also favours the hosts: they have won 50% of their home games, while the visitors have lost 60% of their away matches. Havant average 1.5 goals per home game, while Basingstoke concede 1.8 on the road, increasing the likelihood that the hosts would hold on to any lead. However, caution is warranted, as the hosts were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches and have suffered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Havant & Waterlooville | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 7% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.34 | 0.99 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.86 | 18.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Basingstoke Town is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.6 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Basingstoke Town is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.8 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Basingstoke Town is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.6 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Havant & Waterlooville scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Basingstoke Town scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Havant & Waterlooville keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havant & Waterlooville
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Basingstoke Town is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 0.8 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havant & Waterlooville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Havant & Waterlooville
Basingstoke Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Havant & Waterlooville | Liga | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalRyan Paul Seager
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalRyan Paul Seager
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalRyan Paul Seager
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalMitch Aston
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Havant & Waterlooville 1 - 1 - 0 Basingstoke Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Havant & Waterlooville 4:1 Basingstoke Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Havant & Waterlooville and Basingstoke Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Havant & Waterlooville won 1, Basingstoke Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town?
Havant & Waterlooville score 1.20 goals per game on average and Basingstoke Town 1.80. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Havant & Waterlooville's matches and 80% of Basingstoke Town's.
What form are Havant & Waterlooville and Basingstoke Town in?
Over the last 5 games Havant & Waterlooville have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Basingstoke Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.