Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted: match statistics
Havant & Waterlooville hold a solid home advantage with a 47% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +6. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per game at home, boast higher average possession (53% vs 47%), and better xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.08). Berkhamsted, despite decent form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), show weaker effectiveness in away fixtures – averaging just 1.18 goals per game and a low shot conversion rate (8%). The hosts' superiority in key offensive and defensive metrics points to their victory, although the visitors are capable of securing a result, as seen in their 29% draw rate away. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Havant & Waterlooville.
Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Havant & Waterlooville played Berkhamsted in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Havant & Waterlooville: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Berkhamsted: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Havant & Waterlooville scores 1.77 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Berkhamsted scores 1.40 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Havant & Waterlooville 60%, Berkhamsted 54%. Over 2.5: Havant & Waterlooville 71%, Berkhamsted 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Havant & Waterlooville has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.18. Havant & Waterlooville: 2.5 shots per match, Berkhamsted: 2.3.
Match halves
Havant & Waterlooville: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.97. Berkhamsted: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Havant & Waterlooville: 76-90+ (18 goals). Berkhamsted: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havant & Waterlooville hold a solid home advantage with a 47% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +6. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per game at home, boast higher average possession (53% vs 47%), and better xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.08). Berkhamsted, despite decent form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), show weaker effectiveness in away fixtures – averaging just 1.18 goals per game and a low shot conversion rate (8%). The hosts' superiority in key offensive and defensive metrics points to their victory, although the visitors are capable of securing a result, as seen in their 29% draw rate away. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Havant & Waterlooville.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Havant & Waterlooville | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.30 | 2.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Berkhamsted is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.8 pts / match - Berkhamsted
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havant & Waterlooville is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.4 goals / match - Berkhamsted
Berkhamsted is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.29 goals / match - Berkhamsted
Havant & Waterlooville scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Berkhamsted scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Havant & Waterlooville keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havant & Waterlooville
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Berkhamsted is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Havant & Waterlooville · 1.46 pts / match - Berkhamsted
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havant & Waterlooville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Havant & Waterlooville
Berkhamsted
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Havant & Waterlooville | Liga | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.49 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 22% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Havant & Waterlooville 0 - 0 - 1 Berkhamsted. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Havant & Waterlooville 0:1 Berkhamsted. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted?
Havant & Waterlooville score 1.77 goals per game on average and Berkhamsted 1.40. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Havant & Waterlooville's matches and 54% of Berkhamsted's.
What form are Havant & Waterlooville and Berkhamsted in?
Over the last 5 games Havant & Waterlooville have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Berkhamsted 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.