Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Town: match statistics

Both teams have collected 4 points from their last five matches, recording a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, so the difference in form is minimal. Frome Town have made the stronger start to the current season: they won their only match so far, scored 2 goals and conceded none, while Havant & Waterlooville lost their fixture 0:2. Over the broader five-match sample, the hosts have been slightly more effective in front of goal, scoring 8 times compared with their opponents’ 6, but their defence has also conceded as many as 10 goals—2 more than Frome Town. The visitors’ superior defensive organisation and more positive start to the season support a win for Frome Town, although both teams’ vulnerability to defeats increases the risk of a draw.

BTTS - No is the stronger scenario, as the season-long percentage of matches in which both teams scored stands at 0% for each side, while the league average is only 36%. Havant & Waterlooville have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far, directly limiting Frome Town’s chances of scoring. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 2.0 goals and the visitors 1.6, but BTTS stood at 40% and 60%, respectively, so the current-form signals are mixed. Havant have recently averaged 1.6 goals scored, while Frome have averaged 1.2; however, the absence of confirmed xG figures for the visitors and the hosts’ very low figure of 0.27 xG do not clearly strengthen the case for goals at both ends. It is therefore more likely that at least one team will finish the match without scoring.

Data from the last five matches points to open games: Havant & Waterlooville averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Frome Town scored 1.2 and allowed opponents to score 1.6 goals. The combined profile of both teams produces an average of 3.2 goals per Havant match and 2.8 goals in Frome matches, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. In the last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of the home team’s matches and 40% of the away team’s games, so Over 2.5 has moderate rather than decisive support. The league averages 3.0 goals per match, while home teams in the competition score an average of 2.0 goals at home. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as both defences regularly concede goals and the projected 2.65 goals clearly exceeds this line.

Havant & Waterlooville have home advantage and won their previous home fixture 2–0, already leading at half-time and keeping a clean sheet. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored, while Frome Town conceded an average of 1.6, which favors the hosts in the final outcome. However, both teams’ first-half performances have been inconsistent: Havant scored and conceded 0.8 goals on average, while Frome recorded 0.6 in both categories, although the hosts held a Half-Time lead in 40% of their matches. Frome have lost three of their last five matches, as have Havant, but the hosts’ clear league advantage, together with their average of 2.0 goals at home, suggests they can maintain an early lead. The 1/1 scenario is therefore the strongest, although the small and uneven sample size limits confidence.