Havelse vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
Havelse shows better form in the last five matches with a balance of 1.6 points per match, while Erzgebirge Aue earns only 1.0 point per match. The hosts demonstrate significantly higher scoring efficiency at home (1.45 goals per match) compared to the visitors away (0.8 goals per match). Erzgebirge Aue has a dismal away record with 60% lost matches and only 10% wins, making them a very weak opponent on the road. Havelse, despite being 19th in the table, manages relatively decently at home, conceding an average of 1.91 goals, while Aue concedes 1.7 goals away. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and the opponent's away weakness, Havelse has a real chance to secure three points, though the level playing field (both teams in the lower part of the table) makes a draw also probable.
Havelse vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Havelse played Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Havelse: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Havelse scores 1.43 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.14 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Havelse 81%, Erzgebirge Aue 52%. Over 2.5: Havelse 62%, Erzgebirge Aue 57%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Erzgebirge Aue has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.52. Havelse: 13.1 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 12.9.
Match halves
Havelse: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Havelse: 76-90+ (10 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havelse shows better form in the last five matches with a balance of 1.6 points per match, while Erzgebirge Aue earns only 1.0 point per match. The hosts demonstrate significantly higher scoring efficiency at home (1.45 goals per match) compared to the visitors away (0.8 goals per match). Erzgebirge Aue has a dismal away record with 60% lost matches and only 10% wins, making them a very weak opponent on the road. Havelse, despite being 19th in the table, manages relatively decently at home, conceding an average of 1.91 goals, while Aue concedes 1.7 goals away. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and the opponent's away weakness, Havelse has a real chance to secure three points, though the level playing field (both teams in the lower part of the table) makes a draw also probable.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Havelse | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Havelse is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Havelse · 1 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havelse is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Havelse · 1.14 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.1 goals / match - Havelse · 1.57 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Havelse
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Erzgebirge Aue is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Havelse · 1.1 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Havelse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Havelse | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.52 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 81% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Havelse 0 - 0 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Havelse vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished Havelse 3:1 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Havelse vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Havelse score 1.43 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.14. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 81% of Havelse's matches and 52% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are Havelse and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games Havelse have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havelse vs Erzgebirge Aue?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.