Germany - 3. LigaData current as of 21 September 2026

Havelse vs Fortuna Köln: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Havelse vs Fortuna Köln: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Havelse play Fortuna Köln in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 25 September 2026.

Current form

Havelse: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fortuna Köln: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Havelse scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Fortuna Köln scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Havelse 83%, Fortuna Köln 50%. Over 2.5: Havelse 83%, Fortuna Köln 33%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Fortuna Köln has higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.87. Havelse: 6.2 shots per match, Fortuna Köln: 10.2.

Match halves

Havelse: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Fortuna Köln: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Havelse: 0-15 (2 goals). Fortuna Köln: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.80)
(3.30)
(2.24)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match0.83
HavelseFortuna Köln
2Goals conceded / match1.17
HavelseFortuna Köln
41%Average possession44%
HavelseFortuna Köln
2.67Shots on target / match2.67
HavelseFortuna Köln

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.17Shots per match10.17
HavelseFortuna Köln
2.67Shots on target2.67
HavelseFortuna Köln
24.3%Shot conversion8.2%
HavelseFortuna Köln
41%Possession44%
HavelseFortuna Köln
0.87xG for1.23
HavelseFortuna Köln
1.92xG against1.76
HavelseFortuna Köln

Shooting quality

Havelse: Counter-attackingFortuna Köln: Balanced
HavelseFortuna Köln
Accuracy (shots on target)43%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.560.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortuna Köln is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Havelse · 1.2 pts / match - Fortuna Köln

Havelse
LWLDL
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.81Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fortuna Köln
DWDDL
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Havelse is 81% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Havelse · 0.83 goals / match - Fortuna Köln

Fortuna Köln is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Havelse · 1.17 goals / match - Fortuna Köln

Havelse scoring profile: very strong

Havelse scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Fortuna Köln keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Fortuna Köln scoring profile: very strong

Fortuna Köln scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)5
HavelseFortuna Köln
12Goals conceded (season)7
HavelseFortuna Köln
3.5Average goals in match2
HavelseFortuna Köln
7Goals scored (last 5)5
HavelseFortuna Köln
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
HavelseFortuna Köln

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
HavelseFortuna Köln
50%2 goals33%
HavelseFortuna Köln
17%3 goals0%
HavelseFortuna Köln
0%4 goals0%
HavelseFortuna Köln

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal83%
HavelseFortuna Köln
83%2 goals33%
HavelseFortuna Köln
17%3 goals0%
HavelseFortuna Köln
0%4 goals0%
HavelseFortuna Köln

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time17%
HavelseFortuna Köln
17%BTTS in both halves0%
HavelseFortuna Köln
50%Scored in both halves17%
HavelseFortuna Köln

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
HavelseFortuna Köln
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HavelseFortuna Köln
80%BTTS - last 560%
HavelseFortuna Köln

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
HavelseFortuna Köln
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
HavelseFortuna Köln
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
HavelseFortuna Köln

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
HavelseFortuna Köln
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
HavelseFortuna Köln
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
HavelseFortuna Köln

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Havelse is 203% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Havelse · 0.33 pts / match - Fortuna Köln

Havelse - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Fortuna Köln - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.33
HavelseFortuna Köln
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.17
HavelseFortuna Köln
1Goals conceded (1st half)1
HavelseFortuna Köln
1.83Average goals (1st half)1.17
HavelseFortuna Köln
33%Clean sheet before half-time33%
HavelseFortuna Köln
17%No goal before half-time83%
HavelseFortuna Köln

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2
HavelseFortuna Köln
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
HavelseFortuna Köln
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
HavelseFortuna Köln
1.67Average goals (2nd half)0.83
HavelseFortuna Köln
33%Clean sheet after half-time83%
HavelseFortuna Köln
50%No goal after half-time50%
HavelseFortuna Köln

Havelse - second-half results

33% W0% D67% L
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortuna Köln - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Havelse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fortuna Köln - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Havelse
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Fortuna Köln
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Havelse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Fortuna Köln

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

HavelseLigaFortuna Köln
Average goals in match 3.503.26 2.00
Both teams scored 83%62% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%65% 33%
Clean sheets 0%20% 17%
Goal before half-time 83%81% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%77% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
1.57
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Havelse and Fortuna Köln play?

Havelse face Fortuna Köln on 25 September 2026 in 3. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Havelse vs Fortuna Köln?

Havelse score 1.50 goals per game on average and Fortuna Köln 0.83. The 3. Liga average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Havelse's matches and 50% of Fortuna Köln's.

What form are Havelse and Fortuna Köln in?

Over the last 5 games Havelse have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fortuna Köln 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Havelse vs Fortuna Köln?

The statistical background for Havelse vs Fortuna Köln — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.