Havelse vs Stuttgart II: match statistics

Havelse sit 5th, while Stuttgart II are only 15th, giving the hosts a clear advantage in terms of league position. In their last five matches, Havelse have scored 8 goals and won 2 games, whereas Stuttgart II have netted as many as 16 goals but recorded just 1 victory. Both defences are highly prone to errors: the hosts conceded 16 goals during this period, while the visitors allowed 15, so the match should produce chances at both ends. Havelse have averaged 1.2 points per game over their last five league fixtures, compared with 0.8 points for Stuttgart II, and they will also have home advantage. The hosts’ higher league position and slightly more stable points return support a narrow victory for Havelse, although the visitors’ attacking form significantly increases the risk of a draw or an upset.

Recent form clearly supports goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 80% of Havelse’s last 5 matches and in as many as 100% of Stuttgart II’s matches. During this period, Havelse averaged 1.6 goals scored, while Stuttgart II averaged as many as 3.2, with both defenses conceding heavily—3.2 and 3.0 goals per match, respectively. The hosts allowed opponents an average xG of 2.31, which aligns well with the visitors’ attacking potential, rated at 1.87 xG. Stuttgart II have a lower xG against of 1.36, but Havelse created 1.38 xG and scored in 4 of their last 5 matches. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the more likely outcome.

Both teams are in excellent scoring form: over their last five matches, Havelse averaged 1.6 goals scored and 3.2 conceded, while Stuttgart II scored as many as 3.2 goals per game and conceded 3.0. Each team recorded 5 out of 5 matches with at least three goals during this period, clearly supporting higher goal lines. The xG profile also points to chances at both ends: Havelse created opportunities worth 1.38 xG, while Stuttgart II posted 1.87 xG, and the hosts allowed opponents 2.31 xG per match. Stuttgart II scored 16 goals in five appearances, while Havelse conceded 16, making Over 1.5 goals the safest choice; even with some finishing regression, the two-goal threshold remains highly attainable.

The strongest signal points to Stuttgart II leading at the break: the visitors were ahead in 40% of their recent matches, while Havelse were trailing at half-time in as many as 75%. Havelse averaged just 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded before the interval, whereas Stuttgart II scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 on average. After the break, the visitors retain greater attacking potential, averaging 2.2 goals compared with Havelse’s 1.25, while their second-half goal difference stands at +2, compared with 0 for the hosts. Both teams have been highly vulnerable defensively, with Havelse conceding an average of 3.2 goals in their last five matches and Stuttgart II 3.0. However, the visitors’ superior scoring output of 3.2 goals per match supports the 2/2 HT/FT scenario.