Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Haverfordwest County play Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 13 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Haverfordwest County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Briton Ferry: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Haverfordwest County scores 1.44 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.44 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Haverfordwest County 38%, Briton Ferry 56%. Over 2.5: Haverfordwest County 50%, Briton Ferry 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Haverfordwest County: 11.6 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 10.7.
Match halves
Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.97. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (16 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 3-0-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Haverfordwest County | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haverfordwest County is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Haverfordwest County · 1.47 goals / match - Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Briton Ferry scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Haverfordwest County
Over / Under — Briton Ferry
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Briton Ferry is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Haverfordwest County · 1.53 pts / match - Briton Ferry
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Haverfordwest County
Briton Ferry
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Haverfordwest County | Liga | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.79 | 2.87 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Haverfordwest County 3 - 0 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Haverfordwest County 2:3 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Haverfordwest County and Briton Ferry?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest County won 3, Briton Ferry won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
Haverfordwest County score 1.44 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Haverfordwest County's matches and 56% of Briton Ferry's.
What form are Haverfordwest County and Briton Ferry in?
Over the last 5 games Haverfordwest County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Briton Ferry 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.