Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Haverfordwest County played Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 13 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Haverfordwest County: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Briton Ferry: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Haverfordwest County scores 1.33 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.38 and concedes 1.81. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Haverfordwest County 48%, Briton Ferry 62%. Over 2.5: Haverfordwest County 62%, Briton Ferry 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Briton Ferry has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.34. Haverfordwest County: 10.9 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 10.1.
Match halves
Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (9 goals). Briton Ferry: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced contest between teams of similar potential. Haverfordwest County boasts a better home goal difference (+3) and higher defensive efficiency (1.4 goals conceded per match), yet their home form is unstable (40% wins, 40% losses). Briton Ferry presents a more solid stance in away matches with 40% draws and never finishes games without scoring (0% FTS%), making them a difficult opponent. Both teams have identical average possession (47%) and similar xG values, confirming the even nature of the clash. Considering the recent form of both squads (hosts 1.6 PPG, visitors 1.0 PPG) and Briton Ferry's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Haverfordwest County | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haverfordwest County is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Haverfordwest County · 1 pts / match - Briton Ferry
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haverfordwest County is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Haverfordwest County · 1.81 goals / match - Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Briton Ferry scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haverfordwest County
Over / Under - Briton Ferry
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Briton Ferry is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Haverfordwest County · 1.43 pts / match - Briton Ferry
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Haverfordwest County
Briton Ferry
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Haverfordwest County | Liga | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.05 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Haverfordwest County 1 - 0 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Haverfordwest County 2:3 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
Haverfordwest County score 1.33 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Haverfordwest County's matches and 62% of Briton Ferry's.
What form are Haverfordwest County and Briton Ferry in?
Over the last 5 games Haverfordwest County have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haverfordwest County vs Briton Ferry?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.