Haverfordwest County vs Cambrian & Clydach: match statistics

Haverfordwest County have lost all 3 of their matches this season, failing to score in any of them, while their last five fixtures have produced 5 defeats and a 0:12 goal difference. At home, the hosts average 0.0 goals and have failed to find the net in 100% of their matches, despite an average xG of 1.02, which also highlights a clear problem with finishing. Cambrian & Clydach are in significantly better form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 4 during that period. The visitors create more danger away from home, averaging 15 shots and 6 on target compared with the hosts’ 8.5 and 2, while their xG of 1.73 is higher than Haverfordwest’s 1.02. Although Cambrian & Clydach lost their only away match so far, the scale of the hosts’ attacking problems and the current form of both teams clearly point towards an away win.

The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Haverfordwest County’s very poor current scoring form: the team has failed to score in any of its last 5 matches, with an average xG of just 0.90. Over the same period, Cambrian & Clydach conceded only 0.8 goals per match, while their average xG against stood at 0.82, meaning the hosts could once again struggle to break down their opponents’ defence. The case for a Goal/Goal scenario is strengthened by the fact that the visitors recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season and conceded an average of 2.0 goals, although their recent defensive improvement is clear. Haverfordwest County have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game lately, so the more likely outcome appears to be one in which the visitors score, but at least one team—most likely the hosts—fails to find the net.

Haverfordwest are in very poor offensive form: they have failed to score in their last five matches, with an average xG of just 0.90. During this period, Cambrian & Clydach conceded only 0.8 goals per game and limited opponents to an xG of 0.82, clearly reducing the hosts’ attacking potential. The visitors should create more chances, as their average xG across five matches stands at 1.85, while the hosts conceded 2.4 goals and allowed 1.91 xG over the same period. Nevertheless, both teams had Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last five matches, while season-long data shows that each side has recorded Under 3.5 goals in 100% of games. The projected total of 2.25 goals therefore primarily points towards an Under 3.5 goals selection, with a safety margin even if the visitors are expected to control the match.

Recent form clearly favors Cambrian & Clydach: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Haverfordwest have lost all 5 games, scoring 0 goals and conceding 2.4 per match. Before half-time, the hosts failed to score in all five of these appearances and were trailing at the break in 80% of cases, whereas the visitors led after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches and were level in a further 40%. The contrast remains clear after the interval, as Haverfordwest averaged no goals scored, while Cambrian & Clydach scored 1.0 goal and won the second half in 80% of their recent matches. The 2/2 scenario is therefore the strongest: the visitors should establish their advantage by half-time, and their superior defensive efficiency should allow them to maintain the lead until the final whistle.