Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Haverfordwest County is in excellent shape over their last five matches, picking up 12 points (4 wins, 1 defeat), which yields an impressive 2.4 points per game. Cardiff MU, conversely, is in a clear crisis, earning a mere 0.8 points per game in their last five fixtures without a single victory (4 draws, 1 defeat). The hosts have an offensive edge, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Cardiff MU scores only 1.54 goals on the road. The high percentage of draws for Cardiff MU in away matches (62%) combined with Haverfordwest's solid home form suggests that the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be ignored. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, but factoring in the possibility of a draw due to Cardiff MU's playing characteristics.
Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Haverfordwest County played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Haverfordwest County: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Cardiff MU: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Haverfordwest County scores 1.44 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 1.38 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Haverfordwest County 44%, Cardiff MU 69%. Over 2.5: Haverfordwest County 59%, Cardiff MU 54%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Haverfordwest County has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.37. Haverfordwest County: 11.5 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 10.7.
Match halves
Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (14 goals). Cardiff MU: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Haverfordwest County is in excellent shape over their last five matches, picking up 12 points (4 wins, 1 defeat), which yields an impressive 2.4 points per game. Cardiff MU, conversely, is in a clear crisis, earning a mere 0.8 points per game in their last five fixtures without a single victory (4 draws, 1 defeat). The hosts have an offensive edge, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Cardiff MU scores only 1.54 goals on the road. The high percentage of draws for Cardiff MU in away matches (62%) combined with Haverfordwest's solid home form suggests that the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be ignored. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, but factoring in the possibility of a draw due to Cardiff MU's playing characteristics.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Haverfordwest County | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haverfordwest County is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Haverfordwest County · 0.8 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haverfordwest County scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haverfordwest County
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Haverfordwest County is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Haverfordwest County · 1.04 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Haverfordwest County
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Haverfordwest County | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.96 | • 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 29% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Haverfordwest County 1 - 2 - 0 Cardiff MU. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Haverfordwest County 1:0 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest County won 1, Cardiff MU won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?
Haverfordwest County score 1.44 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Haverfordwest County's matches and 69% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Haverfordwest County have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cardiff MU 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?
The statistical background for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.