Denmark - 1st DivisionData current as of 02 November 2026

HB Køge vs AaB: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HB Køge vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HB Køge play AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 6 November 2026.

Current form

HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AaB: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

HB Køge scores 1.46 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. AaB scores 1.23 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HB Køge 62%, AaB 62%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 62%, AaB 54%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

HB Køge has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.54. HB Køge: 15.2 shots per match, AaB: 14.0.

Match halves

HB Køge: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08. AaB: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46.

Goals by minute

HB Køge: 46-60 (6 goals). AaB: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.55)
(2.42)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.46Goals scored / match1.23
HB KøgeAaB
1.92Goals conceded / match1.38
HB KøgeAaB
54%Average possession55%
HB KøgeAaB
4.23Shots on target / match4.54
HB KøgeAaB

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.15Shots per match14
HB KøgeAaB
4.23Shots on target4.54
HB KøgeAaB
9.6%Shot conversion8.8%
HB KøgeAaB
54%Possession55%
HB KøgeAaB
1.63xG for1.54
HB KøgeAaB
1.64xG against1.41
HB KøgeAaB

Shooting quality

HB Køge: AttackingAaB: Dominant
HB KøgeAaB
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HB Køge is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.6 pts / match - AaB

HB Køge
WWLDL
Season result split
15% W38% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-6
0.85 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
AaB
DDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W46% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-4
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HB Køge is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.23 goals / match - AaB

AaB is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.92 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.38 goals / match - AaB

HB Køge scoring profile: very strong

HB Køge scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

AaB scoring profile: very strong

AaB scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

19Goals scored (season)16
HB KøgeAaB
25Goals conceded (season)18
HB KøgeAaB
3.38Average goals in match2.62
HB KøgeAaB
13Goals scored (last 5)7
HB KøgeAaB
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
HB KøgeAaB

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal77%
HB KøgeAaB
54%2 goals38%
HB KøgeAaB
8%3 goals8%
HB KøgeAaB
8%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAaB

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal77%
HB KøgeAaB
77%2 goals46%
HB KøgeAaB
31%3 goals15%
HB KøgeAaB
0%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAaB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time31%
HB KøgeAaB
15%BTTS in both halves8%
HB KøgeAaB
23%Scored in both halves31%
HB KøgeAaB

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
HB KøgeAaB
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
HB KøgeAaB
80%BTTS - last 580%
HB KøgeAaB

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
HB KøgeAaB
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
HB KøgeAaB
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
HB KøgeAaB

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
HB KøgeAaB
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
HB KøgeAaB
46%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
HB KøgeAaB

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AaB is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.62 pts / match - AaB

HB Køge - half-time state
15% leading38% draw46% trailing
AaB - half-time state
38% leading46% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per match (1st half)1.62
HB KøgeAaB
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.77
HB KøgeAaB
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
HB KøgeAaB
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.31
HB KøgeAaB
31%Clean sheet before half-time54%
HB KøgeAaB
69%No goal before half-time38%
HB KøgeAaB

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)0.92
HB KøgeAaB
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
HB KøgeAaB
1.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
HB KøgeAaB
2.23Average goals (2nd half)1.31
HB KøgeAaB
23%Clean sheet after half-time38%
HB KøgeAaB
38%No goal after half-time54%
HB KøgeAaB

HB Køge - second-half results

38% W23% D38% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AaB - second-half results

15% W46% D38% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

HB Køge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.62.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.43.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
AaB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
6
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

AaB
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

AaB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HB KøgeLigaAaB
Average goals in match▲ 3.382.72▼ 2.62
Both teams scored• 62%62%• 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 62%53%• 54%
Clean sheets▼ 15%24%• 23%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%74%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%74%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): HB Køge 0 - 2 - 3 AaB. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.

AaB
0 : 0
HB Køge
Aalborg BK
1 : 0
HB Køge
HB Køge
1 : 1
Aalborg BK
Aalborg BK
2 : 1
HB Køge
HB Køge
0 : 2
Aalborg BK

FAQ

When do HB Køge and AaB play?

HB Køge face AaB on 6 November 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and AaB?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 0, AaB won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs AaB?

HB Køge score 1.46 goals per game on average and AaB 1.23. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of HB Køge's matches and 62% of AaB's.

What form are HB Køge and AaB in?

Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AaB 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs AaB?

The statistical background for HB Køge vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.