HB Køge vs AaB: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
HB Køge vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 6 November 2026.
Current form
HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AaB: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.46 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. AaB scores 1.23 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 62%, AaB 62%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 62%, AaB 54%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
HB Køge has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.54. HB Køge: 15.2 shots per match, AaB: 14.0.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08. AaB: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 46-60 (6 goals). AaB: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HB Køge is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.6 pts / match - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.23 goals / match - AaB
AaB is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.38 goals / match - AaB
HB Køge scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
AaB scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HB Køge
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.62 pts / match - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): HB Køge 0 - 2 - 3 AaB. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do HB Køge and AaB play?
HB Køge face AaB on 6 November 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and AaB?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 0, AaB won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs AaB?
HB Køge score 1.46 goals per game on average and AaB 1.23. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of HB Køge's matches and 62% of AaB's.
What form are HB Køge and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AaB 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs AaB?
The statistical background for HB Køge vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


