Denmark - 1st DivisionData current as of 15 October 2026

HB Køge vs AB: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HB Køge vs AB: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HB Køge play AB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 16 October 2026.

Current form

HB Køge: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. AB: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

HB Køge scores 1.30 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. AB scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HB Køge 50%, AB 40%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 50%, AB 40%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

HB Køge has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. HB Køge: 15.7 shots per match, AB: 12.7.

Match halves

HB Køge: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90. AB: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

HB Køge: 46-60 (5 goals). AB: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.3Goals scored / match1.3
HB KøgeAB
1.7Goals conceded / match1
HB KøgeAB
52%Average possession46%
HB KøgeAB
4.3Shots on target / match4.4
HB KøgeAB

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.7Shots per match12.7
HB KøgeAB
4.3Shots on target4.4
HB KøgeAB
8.3%Shot conversion10.2%
HB KøgeAB
52%Possession46%
HB KøgeAB
1.67xG for1.45
HB KøgeAB
1.56xG against1.58
HB KøgeAB

Shooting quality

HB Køge: AttackingAB: Balanced
HB KøgeAB
Accuracy (shots on target)27%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HB Køge is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.2 pts / match - AB

HB Køge
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
AB
LLLWW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AB is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - HB Køge · 1 goals / match - AB

HB Køge scoring profile: strong

HB Køge scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while AB keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

AB scoring profile: very strong

AB scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

13Goals scored (season)13
HB KøgeAB
17Goals conceded (season)10
HB KøgeAB
3Average goals in match2.3
HB KøgeAB
10Goals scored (last 5)6
HB KøgeAB
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
HB KøgeAB

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
HB KøgeAB
40%2 goals40%
HB KøgeAB
10%3 goals20%
HB KøgeAB
10%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAB

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal70%
HB KøgeAB
70%2 goals30%
HB KøgeAB
20%3 goals0%
HB KøgeAB
0%4 goals0%
HB KøgeAB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
HB KøgeAB
10%BTTS in both halves10%
HB KøgeAB
20%Scored in both halves30%
HB KøgeAB

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
HB KøgeAB
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
HB KøgeAB
60%BTTS - last 520%
HB KøgeAB

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
HB KøgeAB
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HB KøgeAB
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HB KøgeAB

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
HB KøgeAB
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
HB KøgeAB
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HB KøgeAB

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AB is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.4 pts / match - AB

HB Køge - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
AB - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.4
HB KøgeAB
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.7
HB KøgeAB
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
HB KøgeAB
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.3
HB KøgeAB
40%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HB KøgeAB
70%No goal before half-time50%
HB KøgeAB

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.5
HB KøgeAB
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
HB KøgeAB
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
HB KøgeAB
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1
HB KøgeAB
30%Clean sheet after half-time60%
HB KøgeAB
50%No goal after half-time50%
HB KøgeAB

HB Køge - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AB - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HB Køge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
AB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
4
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AB
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HB KøgeLigaAB
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.78▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 50%62%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%53%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 20%24%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%77%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%77%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do HB Køge and AB play?

HB Køge face AB on 16 October 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs AB?

HB Køge score 1.30 goals per game on average and AB 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of HB Køge's matches and 40% of AB's.

What form are HB Køge and AB in?

Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and AB 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs AB?

The statistical background for HB Køge vs AB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.