HB Køge vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HB Køge played Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

HB Køge: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Middelfart: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

HB Køge scores 1.24 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Middelfart scores 0.94 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HB Køge 65%, Middelfart 53%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 65%, Middelfart 65%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

HB Køge has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.28. HB Køge: 11.7 shots per match, Middelfart: 10.4.

Match halves

HB Køge: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88. Middelfart: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

HB Køge: 76-90+ (7 goals). Middelfart: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
HB KøgeMiddelfart
22Shots13
HB KøgeMiddelfart
3Shots on target5
HB KøgeMiddelfart
2.03xG1.46
HB KøgeMiddelfart
7Corners5
HB KøgeMiddelfart
60Dangerous attacks40
HB KøgeMiddelfart
15Fouls10
HB KøgeMiddelfart
3Cards2
HB KøgeMiddelfart

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.24Goals scored / match0.94
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.88Goals conceded / match1.88
HB KøgeMiddelfart
41%Average possession47%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
3.88Shots on target / match3.29
HB KøgeMiddelfart

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.65Shots per match10.41
HB KøgeMiddelfart
3.88Shots on target3.29
HB KøgeMiddelfart
10.6%Shot conversion9%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
41%Possession47%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.3xG for1.28
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.69xG against1.62
HB KøgeMiddelfart

Shooting quality

HB Køge: BalancedMiddelfart: Balanced
HB KøgeMiddelfart
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HB Køge is 700% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.2 pts / match - Middelfart

HB Køge
WLWDD
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Middelfart
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
6% W35% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-6-10
0.53 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HB Køge is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - HB Køge · 0.94 goals / match - Middelfart

HB Køge scoring profile: very strong

HB Køge scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Middelfart scoring profile: very strong

Middelfart scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

21Goals scored (season)16
HB KøgeMiddelfart
32Goals conceded (season)32
HB KøgeMiddelfart
3.12Average goals in match2.82
HB KøgeMiddelfart
9Goals scored (last 5)5
HB KøgeMiddelfart
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
HB KøgeMiddelfart

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal59%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
41%2 goals35%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
6%3 goals0%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
0%4 goals0%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal88%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
65%2 goals71%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
29%3 goals18%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
6%4 goals12%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time35%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
6%BTTS in both halves18%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
29%Scored in both halves24%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
100%BTTS - last 560%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HB Køge is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - HB Køge · 0.88 pts / match - Middelfart

HB Køge - half-time state
24% leading35% draw41% trailing
Middelfart - half-time state
12% leading53% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)0.88
HB KøgeMiddelfart
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.47
HB KøgeMiddelfart
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.24
HB KøgeMiddelfart
53%Clean sheet before half-time35%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
65%No goal before half-time59%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)0.65
HB KøgeMiddelfart
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.12
HB KøgeMiddelfart
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.59
HB KøgeMiddelfart
29%Clean sheet after half-time24%
HB KøgeMiddelfart
29%No goal after half-time59%
HB KøgeMiddelfart

HB Køge - second-half results

41% W24% R35% P
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Middelfart - second-half results

12% W29% R59% P
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

HB Køge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Middelfart - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
3
5
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Middelfart
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
5
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
10
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Middelfart

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HB KøgeLigaMiddelfart
Average goals in match 3.122.80 2.82
Both teams scored 65%56% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%57% 65%
Clean sheets 12%25% 12%
Goal before half-time 71%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 100%81% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HB KøgeGoalAlfred GøthlerAssist: Mads Rasmussen
  2. HB KøgeYellow cardLaurits Bust Sørensen
  3. MiddelfartYellow cardSøren Eg Pedersen
  4. MiddelfartSubstitutionOn: Mads HansenOff: Robert Kakeeto
  5. MiddelfartGoalMads HansenAssist: Aaron Akalé
  6. MiddelfartGoalMads HansenAssist: Jerailly Wielzen
  7. MiddelfartSubstitutionOn: Lasse ThomsenOff: Mads Hansen
  8. HB KøgeYellow cardMohamad Fakhri Al-Naser
  9. MiddelfartSubstitutionOn: Malthe BoesenOff: Aaron Akalé
  10. HB KøgeYellow cardIfenna Dorgu
  11. MiddelfartYellow cardSøren Reese
  12. MiddelfartSubstitutionOn: Mikkel Søfeldt NielsenOff: Jerailly Wielzen

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: HB Køge 0 - 1 - 0 Middelfart. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Middelfart G & BK
2 : 2
HB Køge

FAQ

What was the result of HB Køge vs Middelfart?

The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 1:2 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Middelfart?

HB Køge score 1.24 goals per game on average and Middelfart 0.94. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 65% of HB Køge's matches and 53% of Middelfart's.

What form are HB Køge and Middelfart in?

Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Middelfart 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Middelfart?

The statistical background for HB Køge vs Middelfart — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.