Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko: match statistics
Heart of Lions displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their ground and a high 78% clean sheets rate, which points to a solid defense on home turf. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches and hold an advantage in xG (1.85 vs 0.95), indicating offensive efficiency. Asante Kotoko struggles with effectiveness on the road – only a 22% win rate and a high 56% of matches without scoring, averaging just 0.56 goals per away game. Although the visitors have a better overall seasonal record and a slightly better form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG), their weaknesses in away performances and the dominance of Heart of Lions at home argue in favor of a home victory. The difference in xG as well as Heart of Lions' clean sheet percentage at home (78% vs Kotoko's 67% away) further supports this prediction.
Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heart of Lions played Asante Kotoko in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Heart of Lions: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Asante Kotoko: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heart of Lions scores 0.90 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Asante Kotoko scores 1.37 and concedes 0.58. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heart of Lions 25%, Asante Kotoko 32%. Over 2.5: Heart of Lions 30%, Asante Kotoko 37%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Asante Kotoko has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.46. Heart of Lions: 9.6 shots per match, Asante Kotoko: 11.2.
Match halves
Heart of Lions: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.45. Asante Kotoko: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Heart of Lions: 76-90+ (5 goals). Asante Kotoko: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heart of Lions displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their ground and a high 78% clean sheets rate, which points to a solid defense on home turf. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches and hold an advantage in xG (1.85 vs 0.95), indicating offensive efficiency. Asante Kotoko struggles with effectiveness on the road – only a 22% win rate and a high 56% of matches without scoring, averaging just 0.56 goals per away game. Although the visitors have a better overall seasonal record and a slightly better form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG), their weaknesses in away performances and the dominance of Heart of Lions at home argue in favor of a home victory. The difference in xG as well as Heart of Lions' clean sheet percentage at home (78% vs Kotoko's 67% away) further supports this prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heart of Lions | Asante Kotoko | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Asante Kotoko is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Heart of Lions · 1.6 pts / match - Asante Kotoko
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Asante Kotoko is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 1.37 goals / match - Asante Kotoko
Asante Kotoko is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 0.58 goals / match - Asante Kotoko
Heart of Lions scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Asante Kotoko keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).
Asante Kotoko scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Heart of Lions keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heart of Lions
Over / Under - Asante Kotoko
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heart of Lions - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Asante Kotoko - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heart of Lions
Asante Kotoko
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Heart of Lions | Liga | Asante Kotoko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.70 | 1.91 | • 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heart of Lions 0 - 1 - 0 Asante Kotoko. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Heart of Lions 3:1 Asante Kotoko. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
Heart of Lions score 0.90 goals per game on average and Asante Kotoko 1.37. The Ghana Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Heart of Lions's matches and 32% of Asante Kotoko's.
What form are Heart of Lions and Asante Kotoko in?
Over the last 5 games Heart of Lions have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Asante Kotoko 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.