Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold: match statistics
Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heart of Lions played Ashanti Gold in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Ohene Ameyaw Park. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Heart of Lions: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Ashanti Gold: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heart of Lions scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Ashanti Gold scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heart of Lions 50%, Ashanti Gold 75%. Over 2.5: Heart of Lions 50%, Ashanti Gold 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Heart of Lions has higher xG: 1.08 vs 0.99. Heart of Lions: 3.5 shots per match, Ashanti Gold: 3.3.
Match halves
Heart of Lions: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. Ashanti Gold: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Heart of Lions: 76-90+ (2 goals). Ashanti Gold: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heart of Lions have drawn both of their home matches so far, 0:0, while Ashanti Gold have recorded a draw and a defeat away from home, making a share of the points the most likely outcome. The hosts are yet to score at home, averaging just 1 shot on target per match, although their xG of 0.96 suggests they are creating chances. The visitors sit higher in the table, in 5th place compared with 12th, but average just 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per match on the road. Both teams have scored 6 goals in their last five matches, but Ashanti Gold have conceded 7 compared with 3 for Heart of Lions, offsetting the visitors’ advantage in the standings.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring concerns the visitors: away from home, they average 0.5 goals and have failed to score in 50% of those matches. Heart of Lions have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5 games, further reducing Ashanti Gold’s chances of finding the net. The hosts have greater attacking potential — they average 2.5 goals at home, with an xG of 1.97 — so BTTS - No here primarily reflects the risk of the visitors failing to score. However, the signal is not conclusive: over their last 5 matches, both teams have averaged 1.2 goals, while both sides scored in 40% and 60% of those games, respectively. I therefore consider at least one team failing to score somewhat more likely, but not a certain outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Heart of Lions average 2.5 goals scored at home, but have managed only 1.2 goals per match over their last five games, supporting a more cautious prediction. Ashanti Gold average 0.5 goals scored away from home, although they have averaged 1.2 goals overall across their last five matches. Over that same five-match span, the hosts conceded an average of 0.6 goals, compared with 1.4 for the visitors, so I expect Heart of Lions to make the greater contribution to the scoreline. The projected total of 2.35 goals is close to the league average of 2.4, and neither team has gone Over 4.5 goals in their home or away matches so far. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: even with the hosts’ advantage, the data do not clearly point to the four goals needed to lose this bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Heart of Lions win appears to be the most likely outcome. The hosts did not score before the break in the available sample of recent matches, and they went into half-time level in 50% of them, which argues against backing them to take an early lead. After the break, they averaged 0.75 goals in this sample, compared with Ashanti Gold’s 0.25, giving them a better chance of settling a close contest in the second half. Their case for a full-time win is also supported by two wins in two home matches, while the visitors have yet to win in two away matches, as well as the hosts’ average xG of 1.97. However, the edge is not decisive: Ashanti Gold led at the break in 50% of their recent matches, so X/1 has only a slight edge over 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heart of Lions | Ashanti Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.75 | 0.86 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ashanti Gold is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Heart of Lions · 1.75 pts / match - Ashanti Gold
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ashanti Gold is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 1.5 goals / match - Ashanti Gold
Heart of Lions is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 1 goals / match - Ashanti Gold
Heart of Lions scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Ashanti Gold keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Ashanti Gold scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Heart of Lions keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heart of Lions
Over / Under - Ashanti Gold
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ashanti Gold is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Heart of Lions · 1.75 pts / match - Ashanti Gold
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heart of Lions - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ashanti Gold - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heart of Lions
Ashanti Gold
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Heart of Lions | Liga | Ashanti Gold | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Heart of Lions 3:2 Ashanti Gold. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold?
Heart of Lions score 0.75 goals per game on average and Ashanti Gold 1.50. The Ghana Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Heart of Lions's matches and 75% of Ashanti Gold's.
What form are Heart of Lions and Ashanti Gold in?
Over the last 5 games Heart of Lions have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Ashanti Gold 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.