Heart of Lions vs Nations: match statistics
Heart of Lions vs Nations: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heart of Lions play Nations in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Heart of Lions: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nations: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heart of Lions scores 1.06 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Nations scores 0.88 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heart of Lions 29%, Nations 35%. Over 2.5: Heart of Lions 41%, Nations 29%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Heart of Lions: 7.6 shots per match, Nations: 7.9.
Match halves
Heart of Lions: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.38. Nations: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Heart of Lions: 31-45+ (12 goals). Nations: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (Heart of Lions) based on clearly superior home metrics: at home they boast a 64% win rate and as many as 71% clean sheets, conceding only 0.36 goals per match on average. In attack the hosts produce an average xG of 1.74 at home and register 12.31 shots (4.23 on target), whereas Nations away have xG 1.11, average 8 shots and 2.7 on target with only 0.5 goals scored per game. This yields a large efficiency gap: visitors fail to score in 57% of away matches and have only a 7% away win rate, while conceding on average 1.43 goals. In the last five matches Heart of Lions are 1-3-1 (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) averaging 1.2 points per game; Nations are 2-1-2 averaging 1.4 points per game, so the visitors’ form is slightly better but does not offset their poor away efficiency. Considering the xG advantage (1.74 vs 1.11), higher shot volume and the hosts’ defensive edge, I assess the probabilities as approximately 72% for a Heart of Lions win, 18% for a draw and 10% for a Nations success.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heart of Lions | Nations | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heart of Lions is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heart of Lions · 1.2 pts / match - Nations
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heart of Lions is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 0.88 goals / match - Nations
Nations is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Heart of Lions · 0.91 goals / match - Nations
Heart of Lions scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Nations keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Nations scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Heart of Lions keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heart of Lions
Over / Under — Nations
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heart of Lions is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Heart of Lions · 1.21 pts / match - Nations
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heart of Lions - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nations - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heart of Lions
Nations
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Heart of Lions | Liga | Nations | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 34% | • 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heart of Lions 0 - 0 - 1 Nations. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heart of Lions vs Nations?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Heart of Lions 0:1 Nations. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heart of Lions vs Nations?
Heart of Lions score 1.06 goals per game on average and Nations 0.88. The Ghana Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Heart of Lions's matches and 35% of Nations's.
What form are Heart of Lions and Nations in?
Over the last 5 games Heart of Lions have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nations 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heart of Lions vs Nations?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heart of Lions vs Nations: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.