Hearts of Oak vs Karela: match statistics
Hearts of Oak vs Karela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hearts of Oak play Karela in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hearts of Oak: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hearts of Oak scores 0.76 and concedes 0.42 goals per match. Karela scores 0.94 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hearts of Oak 15%, Karela 35%. Over 2.5: Hearts of Oak 18%, Karela 26%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Hearts of Oak has higher xG: 1.31 vs 0.97. Hearts of Oak: 7.1 shots per match, Karela: 6.0.
Match halves
Hearts of Oak: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.42. Karela: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Hearts of Oak: 61-75 (7 goals). Karela: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Based on the statistics, the hosts have a clear defensive edge — at home they keep a clean sheet in 85% of matches and concede only 0.31 goals per match on average, with home xG of 1.58 versus xG against 0.94. Karela struggle away — only 7% away wins, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per away match, with away xG 0.9 versus xG against 1.57. The difference in chance creation also favors Hearts: on average 8.23 shots and 4.0 on target at home versus 6.29 shots and 2.43 on target for the away side, with possession 53% versus 42%. At the same time both teams show poor finishing: Hearts have scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches, Karela 6, and the percentage of matches without scoring is 46% and 47% respectively, so I expect a low-scoring game. Considering the hosts’ dominant defense, the low finishing efficiency of both sides and Karela’s weak away figures, I forecast a draw as the most likely outcome, with probabilities of 35% home win, 50% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts of Oak | Karela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.57 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hearts of Oak is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hearts of Oak · 1.4 pts / match - Karela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karela is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Hearts of Oak · 0.94 goals / match - Karela
Hearts of Oak is 131% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.42 goals / match - Hearts of Oak · 0.97 goals / match - Karela
Hearts of Oak scores in 48% of matches (16 of 33 matches), while Karela keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
Karela scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Hearts of Oak keeps a clean sheet in 73% (24 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hearts of Oak
Over / Under — Karela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts of Oak is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Hearts of Oak · 1.32 pts / match - Karela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts of Oak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hearts of Oak
Karela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hearts of Oak | Liga | Karela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.18 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 15% | 34% | • 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 36% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hearts of Oak 0 - 0 - 1 Karela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts of Oak vs Karela?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Hearts of Oak 0:0 Karela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts of Oak vs Karela?
Hearts of Oak score 0.76 goals per game on average and Karela 0.94. The Ghana Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 15% of Hearts of Oak's matches and 35% of Karela's.
What form are Hearts of Oak and Karela in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts of Oak have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karela 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts of Oak vs Karela?
The statistical background for Hearts of Oak vs Karela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.