Hearts vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Hearts vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hearts played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 3 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hearts: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kilmarnock: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hearts scores 2.07 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.07 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hearts 43%, Kilmarnock 57%. Over 2.5: Hearts 57%, Kilmarnock 64%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hearts has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.22. Hearts: 14.9 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.4.
Match halves
Hearts: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.29. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Hearts: 46-60 (7 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hearts is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hearts · 0.2 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Hearts · 1.07 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Hearts is 135% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Hearts · 1.86 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Hearts scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Hearts · 1.14 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hearts
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hearts 1 - 0 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 1:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
Hearts score 2.07 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.07. The Premiership average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Hearts's matches and 57% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Hearts and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.