Hearts vs Livingston: match statistics
Hearts sit top of the table and display stellar home form with a 67% win rate and a +13 goal difference at their own ground. The hosts have scored 38 goals this season, conceding just 17, translating to an average of 2.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per home match. Livingston finds themselves in 12th position with a disastrous away record—zero wins, a 60% loss rate, and a -13 goal difference on the road. The visitors have earned just 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, conceding 13 goals. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.72 vs 0.96 at home), while Livingston posts a negative xG balance away (1.09 vs 1.69). All indicators point towards a decisive home win, although Hearts' draw history (33% on home soil) leaves a slight chance of points being shared.
Hearts vs Livingston: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hearts played Livingston in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hearts: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Livingston: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hearts scores 2.00 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Livingston scores 1.05 and concedes 2.05. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hearts 53%, Livingston 68%. Over 2.5: Hearts 58%, Livingston 74%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hearts has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.19. Hearts: 14.6 shots per match, Livingston: 9.8.
Match halves
Hearts: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.21. Livingston: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Hearts: 46-60 (8 goals). Livingston: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts sit top of the table and display stellar home form with a 67% win rate and a +13 goal difference at their own ground. The hosts have scored 38 goals this season, conceding just 17, translating to an average of 2.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per home match. Livingston finds themselves in 12th position with a disastrous away record—zero wins, a 60% loss rate, and a -13 goal difference on the road. The visitors have earned just 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures, conceding 13 goals. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.72 vs 0.96 at home), while Livingston posts a negative xG balance away (1.09 vs 1.69). All indicators point towards a decisive home win, although Hearts' draw history (33% on home soil) leaves a slight chance of points being shared.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hearts is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hearts · 0.2 pts / match - Livingston
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Hearts · 1.05 goals / match - Livingston
Hearts is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Hearts · 2.05 goals / match - Livingston
Hearts scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
Livingston scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - Livingston
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Hearts · 0.95 pts / match - Livingston
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hearts
Livingston
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hearts 1 - 0 - 0 Livingston. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs Livingston?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 1:0 Livingston. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Livingston?
Hearts score 2.00 goals per game on average and Livingston 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hearts's matches and 68% of Livingston's.
What form are Hearts and Livingston in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Livingston 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Livingston?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Livingston: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.