Hearts vs Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hearts played Rangers in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Hearts: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Rangers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hearts scores 2.00 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Rangers scores 1.44 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hearts 47%, Rangers 56%. Over 2.5: Hearts 53%, Rangers 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Rangers has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.67. Hearts: 14.6 shots per match, Rangers: 15.2.

Match halves

Hearts: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.24. Rangers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Hearts: 46-60 (8 goals). Rangers: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
HeartsRangers
14Shots11
HeartsRangers
5Shots on target2
HeartsRangers
1.47xG1.2
HeartsRangers
6Corners10
HeartsRangers
31Dangerous attacks50
HeartsRangers
12Fouls10
HeartsRangers
2Cards1
HeartsRangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.44
HeartsRangers
0.76Goals conceded / match0.81
HeartsRangers
53%Average possession63%
HeartsRangers
5.24Shots on target / match5.5
HeartsRangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.59Shots per match15.19
HeartsRangers
5.24Shots on target5.5
HeartsRangers
13.7%Shot conversion9.5%
HeartsRangers
53%Possession63%
HeartsRangers
1.67xG for1.75
HeartsRangers
1.06xG against1.17
HeartsRangers

Shooting quality

Hearts: AttackingRangers: Dominant
HeartsRangers
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rangers is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Hearts · 2.2 pts / match - Rangers

Hearts
LDDWW
Season result split
65% W29% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-1
2.24 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Rangers
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W50% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-1
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Hearts · 1.44 goals / match - Rangers

Hearts is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.76 goals / match - Hearts · 0.81 goals / match - Rangers

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Rangers scoring profile: strong

Rangers scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).

34Goals scored (season)23
HeartsRangers
13Goals conceded (season)13
HeartsRangers
2.76Average goals in match2.25
HeartsRangers
5Goals scored (last 5)8
HeartsRangers
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
HeartsRangers

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal81%
HeartsRangers
71%2 goals44%
HeartsRangers
35%3 goals19%
HeartsRangers
6%4 goals0%
HeartsRangers

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal63%
HeartsRangers
18%2 goals19%
HeartsRangers
6%3 goals0%
HeartsRangers
0%4 goals0%
HeartsRangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time19%
HeartsRangers
6%BTTS in both halves6%
HeartsRangers
59%Scored in both halves44%
HeartsRangers

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
HeartsRangers
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
HeartsRangers
40%BTTS - last 540%
HeartsRangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
HeartsRangers
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
HeartsRangers
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HeartsRangers

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
HeartsRangers
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
HeartsRangers
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
HeartsRangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rangers is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Hearts · 1.88 pts / match - Rangers

Hearts - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Rangers - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.88
HeartsRangers
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.75
HeartsRangers
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
HeartsRangers
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.06
HeartsRangers
59%Clean sheet before half-time69%
HeartsRangers
35%No goal before half-time31%
HeartsRangers

After half-time (2nd half)

2.29Points per match (2nd half)1.38
HeartsRangers
1.24Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
HeartsRangers
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
HeartsRangers
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.19
HeartsRangers
76%Clean sheet after half-time56%
HeartsRangers
18%No goal after half-time44%
HeartsRangers

Hearts - second-half results

65% W35% D0% L
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rangers - second-half results

31% W44% D25% L
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 44%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
3
31-45
8
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Rangers
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HeartsLigaRangers
Average goals in match 2.762.55 2.25
Both teams scored 47%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%50% 44%
Clean sheets 47%30% 38%
Goal before half-time 82%74% 81%
Goal after half-time 82%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. RangersSubstitutionOn: Youssef Ramalho ChermitiOff: Mohammed Diomande
  2. HeartsYellow cardOisin Michael McEntee
  3. RangersSubstitutionOn: Djeidi GassamaOff: James Tavernier
  4. RangersSubstitutionOn: Clinton Nsiala-MakengoOff: Dujon Sterling
  5. HeartsSubstitutionOn: Jamie MccartOff: Stephen Kingsley
  6. HeartsSubstitutionOn: Sabah KerjotaOff: Alexandros Kyziridis
  7. HeartsSubstitutionOn: Elton Daniël KabanguOff: Lawrence Shankland
  8. HeartsYellow cardBeni Baningime
  9. RangersYellow cardMikey Moore

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Nick WalshMatches officiated: 23
4.35Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins22%Draws17%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hearts 1 - 0 - 0 Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Rangers FC
0 : 2
Heart of Midlothian FC

FAQ

What was the result of Hearts vs Rangers?

The Premiership match finished Hearts 2:1 Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts score 2.00 goals per game on average and Rangers 1.44. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hearts's matches and 56% of Rangers's.

What form are Hearts and Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Rangers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs Rangers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hearts vs Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.