Hearts vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Hearts are exhibiting dominant form as league leaders, boasting a 70% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference on home turf. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals while conceding just 4, confirming their offensive and defensive stability. St. Mirren sits in 10th place with a disastrous away record – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -9 on the road. The visitors have managed only 2 goals while conceding 6 in their last 5 outings, highlighting significant issues at both ends of the pitch. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.73 vs 1.35), while their superiority in possession (54% vs 45%) and shot conversion (14% vs 8%) further confirms the hosts' distinct advantage. Given all data points, Hearts should comfortably win this match in front of their home crowd.
Hearts vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hearts played St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Hearts: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. St. Mirren: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hearts scores 1.90 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hearts 48%, St. Mirren 40%. Over 2.5: Hearts 52%, St. Mirren 35%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Hearts has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.39. Hearts: 14.3 shots per match, St. Mirren: 12.2.
Match halves
Hearts: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.10. St. Mirren: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Hearts: 46-60 (8 goals). St. Mirren: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts are exhibiting dominant form as league leaders, boasting a 70% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference on home turf. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals while conceding just 4, confirming their offensive and defensive stability. St. Mirren sits in 10th place with a disastrous away record – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -9 on the road. The visitors have managed only 2 goals while conceding 6 in their last 5 outings, highlighting significant issues at both ends of the pitch. xG statistics also favor Hearts (1.73 vs 1.35), while their superiority in possession (54% vs 45%) and shot conversion (14% vs 8%) further confirms the hosts' distinct advantage. Given all data points, Hearts should comfortably win this match in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hearts is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Hearts · 0.8 pts / match - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 137% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Hearts · 0.8 goals / match - St. Mirren
Hearts is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Hearts · 1.4 goals / match - St. Mirren
Hearts scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
St. Mirren scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Hearts · 1.05 pts / match - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hearts
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hearts 0 - 1 - 0 St. Mirren. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 2:0 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs St. Mirren?
Hearts score 1.90 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.80. The Premiership average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Hearts's matches and 40% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Hearts and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.