Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hebar 1918 play Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Current form
Hebar 1918: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nesebar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hebar 1918 scores 2.25 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Nesebar scores 1.67 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hebar 1918 83%, Nesebar 50%. Over 2.5: Hebar 1918 75%, Nesebar 42%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Hebar 1918 has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.50. Hebar 1918: 12.2 shots per match, Nesebar: 9.5.
Match halves
Hebar 1918: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Nesebar: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Hebar 1918: 76-90+ (7 goals). Nesebar: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hebar 1918 | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hebar 1918 is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Hebar 1918 · 1.6 pts / match - Nesebar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hebar 1918 is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Hebar 1918 · 1.67 goals / match - Nesebar
Nesebar is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Hebar 1918 · 1.42 goals / match - Nesebar
Hebar 1918 scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Nesebar scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Hebar 1918 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hebar 1918
Over / Under - Nesebar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nesebar is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Hebar 1918 · 1.42 pts / match - Nesebar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hebar 1918 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nesebar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hebar 1918
Nesebar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Hebar 1918 | Liga | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.92 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Hebar 1918 and Nesebar play?
Hebar 1918 face Nesebar on 23 October 2026 in Second League at Stadion Georgi Benkovski. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
Hebar 1918 score 2.25 goals per game on average and Nesebar 1.67. The Second League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Hebar 1918's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.
What form are Hebar 1918 and Nesebar in?
Over the last 5 games Hebar 1918 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nesebar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
The statistical background for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.