Heerenveen vs Ajax: match statistics
Heerenveen vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen play Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 14:30. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ajax: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Ajax scores 1.81 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 66%, Ajax 67%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 71%, Ajax 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.67. Heerenveen: 14.9 shots per match, Ajax: 14.9.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97. Ajax: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Heerenveen win 50% of home matches, score on average 2.06 goals per game and have average xG of 1.84 with 5.88 shots on target per match, indicating a genuine offensive threat. Ajax have won only 31% of away games, but as many as 56% of their matches end in a draw; the visitors average 1.88 goals, have xG 1.51, higher shot conversion at 15% and a lower share of matches without scoring (6%), so they are capable of responding. In the last 5 matches Heerenveen scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and averaged 1.8 points per game, while Ajax scored 9 goals (1.8) and 1.4 points, showing comparable form with a slight points edge for the home side. Both teams concede on average 1.5 goals, and Heerenveen’s matches feature a high total goals figure (average 3.56), so I expect an open game with a higher probability of a shared result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heerenveen is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.2 pts / match - Ajax
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.81 goals / match - Ajax
Ajax is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.17 goals / match - Ajax
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
Ajax scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heerenveen
Over / Under — Ajax
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.81 pts / match - Ajax
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
Ajax
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 0 - 1 - 0 Ajax. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 0:0 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Ajax?
Heerenveen score 1.69 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.81. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Heerenveen's matches and 67% of Ajax's.
What form are Heerenveen and Ajax in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ajax 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.