Heerenveen vs Groningen: match statistics
Heerenveen are in excellent form in their last five matches with four wins and a goal difference of 14:5, translating to 2.6 points per game. The hosts have superior xG numbers in home matches (1.82 to 1.18), indicating an offensive edge, although their lack of clean sheets at home could be a slight issue. Groningen have a solid away record with a 44% win rate, yet their recent five-match form is weaker (1.6 PPG) and their negative goal difference on the road (-4) is concerning. Groningen's higher shot accuracy (6.78 accurate shots per match) could pose a threat, but Heerenveen's advantage in possession (52% to 47%) and superior current form suggest the hosts are more likely to secure all three points. I anticipate a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home side, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Heerenveen vs Groningen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played Groningen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Groningen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.72 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Groningen scores 1.39 and concedes 1.22. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 72%, Groningen 44%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 72%, Groningen 44%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Groningen has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.77. Heerenveen: 16.0 shots per match, Groningen: 16.4.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Groningen: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 31-45+ (8 goals). Groningen: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen are in excellent form in their last five matches with four wins and a goal difference of 14:5, translating to 2.6 points per game. The hosts have superior xG numbers in home matches (1.82 to 1.18), indicating an offensive edge, although their lack of clean sheets at home could be a slight issue. Groningen have a solid away record with a 44% win rate, yet their recent five-match form is weaker (1.6 PPG) and their negative goal difference on the road (-4) is concerning. Groningen's higher shot accuracy (6.78 accurate shots per match) could pose a threat, but Heerenveen's advantage in possession (52% to 47%) and superior current form suggest the hosts are more likely to secure all three points. I anticipate a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home side, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Groningen is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.6 pts / match - Groningen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.72 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.39 goals / match - Groningen
Groningen is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.22 goals / match - Groningen
Heerenveen scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Groningen scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - Groningen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Groningen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
Groningen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.28 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 19% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 0 - 0 - 1 Groningen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Groningen?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 0:2 Groningen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Groningen?
Heerenveen score 1.72 goals per game on average and Groningen 1.39. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Heerenveen's matches and 44% of Groningen's.
What form are Heerenveen and Groningen in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Groningen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Groningen?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs Groningen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.