Heerenveen vs NEC: match statistics
Heerenveen vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played NEC in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Heerenveen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. NEC: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.80 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. NEC scores 1.70 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 40%, NEC 90%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 60%, NEC 80%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.71. Heerenveen: 15.3 shots per match, NEC: 15.9.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.10. NEC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 16-30 (4 goals). NEC: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.78 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen sit 7th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while NEC, 12th in the table, have managed just 1 win and recorded 4 draws over the same period. The hosts scored 11 goals and conceded 4 in those five matches, while the visitors scored 10 and conceded 8, pointing to Heerenveen’s stronger recent defensive record. At home, Heerenveen average 1.70 xG and 5.4 shots on target per match, compared with NEC’s 1.35 xG and 4.25 shots on target away from home. The visitors can still make their chances count, averaging 2 goals away with a 17% shot conversion rate, so a win for them cannot be ruled out. Heerenveen’s edge in the quality of chances created and recent defensive form makes them the more appealing pick, although NEC’s four draws in their last five matches increase the likelihood of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 100% of Heerenveen’s home matches and 75% of NEC’s away matches, pointing to goals from both teams. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.5 on the road; additionally, Heerenveen’s xG is 2.16, indicating the potential to create chances. NEC score an average of 2.0 goals away from home, while Heerenveen concede 2.0 at home, so the visitors also have a strong chance of getting on the scoresheet. Heerenveen’s form warrants some caution: BTTS landed in only 20% of their last 5 matches, and they conceded an average of 0.8 goals. Even so, NEC recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 matches, and neither team kept a clean sheet in their respective home and away games, making BTTS - Yes the stronger pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
All of Heerenveen’s home matches and NEC’s away matches so far have featured at least two goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest indicator. Heerenveen average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while NEC average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away, pointing to scoring potential for both sides. The hosts’ attack is also supported by an average xG of 2.16, although their actual conversion rate is lower. The 2.5-goal line also looks promising—it has been surpassed in 83% of Heerenveen’s home matches and 75% of NEC’s away matches—but offers a smaller margin of safety than the selected Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Heerenveen led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while NEC failed to lead in any and conceded an average of 1.4 goals before half-time. This points to the home side leading at the break, although their longer-term record is less convincing: they did not lead at half-time in any of their six matches. Heerenveen’s recent form supports them maintaining their advantage, with 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored, compared with NEC’s 1.6 goals conceded. The hosts also average 2.16 xG against the visitors’ 1.35, strengthening the case for 1/1 in the HT/FT market. The risk of a draw remains significant, as NEC have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and won the second half in 3 of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heerenveen is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Heerenveen · 0.8 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.7 goals / match - NEC
Heerenveen is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.8 goals / match - NEC
Heerenveen scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
NEC scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.1 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.10 | 3.78 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | • 90% | 90% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Heerenveen 1 - 1 - 0 NEC. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs NEC?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 1:0 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and NEC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1, NEC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs NEC?
Heerenveen score 1.80 goals per game on average and NEC 1.70. The Eredivisie average is 3.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Heerenveen's matches and 90% of NEC's.
What form are Heerenveen and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and NEC 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs NEC?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.