Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Heerenveen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.59 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.41 and concedes 2.05. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 68%, PEC Zwolle 68%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 68%, PEC Zwolle 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.06. Heerenveen: 15.9 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 9.1.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.95. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 76-90+ (9 goals). PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PEC Zwolle is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.4 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.41 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Heerenveen · 2.05 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
PEC Zwolle scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.27 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 19% | • 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 82% | 82% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 0 - 0 - 1 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 4:2 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Heerenveen score 1.59 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.41. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Heerenveen's matches and 68% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.