Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a balanced clash with a slight advantage for the hosts playing at their own stadium. Heerenveen presents solid form in home matches with a 33% win rate and only 17% of games without scoring, averaging 1.83 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.8. Sparta Rotterdam as the away side has a better win record (50%), but simultaneously a high loss percentage (42%) and a weaker goal difference (-4). Recent form for both teams is variable – Heerenveen earned 1.2 points per match in the last five games, while Sparta averaged 1.6 points. Considering the high average of goals in matches involving both teams (3.58 for Heerenveen at home and 3.17 for Sparta away) and comparable xG statistics, I expect a scoring draw as the most probable scenario.
Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sparta Rotterdam: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.67 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Sparta Rotterdam scores 1.29 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 71%, Sparta Rotterdam 42%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 71%, Sparta Rotterdam 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.46. Heerenveen: 15.6 shots per match, Sparta Rotterdam: 12.9.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Sparta Rotterdam: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 76-90+ (10 goals). Sparta Rotterdam: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a balanced clash with a slight advantage for the hosts playing at their own stadium. Heerenveen presents solid form in home matches with a 33% win rate and only 17% of games without scoring, averaging 1.83 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.8. Sparta Rotterdam as the away side has a better win record (50%), but simultaneously a high loss percentage (42%) and a weaker goal difference (-4). Recent form for both teams is variable – Heerenveen earned 1.2 points per match in the last five games, while Sparta averaged 1.6 points. Considering the high average of goals in matches involving both teams (3.58 for Heerenveen at home and 3.17 for Sparta away) and comparable xG statistics, I expect a scoring draw as the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sparta Rotterdam is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.6 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.29 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.67 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Sparta Rotterdam keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Sparta Rotterdam scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - Sparta Rotterdam
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sparta Rotterdam is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.46 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sparta Rotterdam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 18% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 1 - 0 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 2:1 Sparta Rotterdam. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Heerenveen score 1.67 goals per game on average and Sparta Rotterdam 1.29. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Heerenveen's matches and 42% of Sparta Rotterdam's.
What form are Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sparta Rotterdam 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.