Heerenveen vs Telstar: match statistics
Heerenveen showcases significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Telstar achieves only 1.4 points. The hosts hold a substantial advantage in home fixtures with a 38% win rate and an average of 1.85 goals per game, outperforming the visitors' offense (averaging 1.08 goals on the road). Telstar struggles in away matches, losing 46% of their fixtures and failing to score in 31% of cases. The xG data also favors Heerenveen (1.79 xG For vs 1.27 xG Against at home), whereas Telstar posts a negative xG balance on the road (1.32 xG For vs 2.07 xG Against). An edge in ball possession (52% vs 42%) and Heerenveen's higher shot efficiency further support predictions for a home win, though a history of draws in home matches (38%) and the unpredictability of league fixtures mean a sharing of points cannot be ruled out.
Heerenveen vs Telstar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played Telstar in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Heerenveen: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Telstar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Telstar scores 1.35 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 73%, Telstar 65%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 73%, Telstar 54%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.45. Heerenveen: 15.4 shots per match, Telstar: 12.9.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00. Telstar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 76-90+ (11 goals). Telstar: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen showcases significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Telstar achieves only 1.4 points. The hosts hold a substantial advantage in home fixtures with a 38% win rate and an average of 1.85 goals per game, outperforming the visitors' offense (averaging 1.08 goals on the road). Telstar struggles in away matches, losing 46% of their fixtures and failing to score in 31% of cases. The xG data also favors Heerenveen (1.79 xG For vs 1.27 xG Against at home), whereas Telstar posts a negative xG balance on the road (1.32 xG For vs 2.07 xG Against). An edge in ball possession (52% vs 42%) and Heerenveen's higher shot efficiency further support predictions for a home win, though a history of draws in home matches (38%) and the unpredictability of league fixtures mean a sharing of points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heerenveen is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.6 pts / match - Telstar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.35 goals / match - Telstar
Heerenveen scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Telstar scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - Telstar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.15 pts / match - Telstar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
Telstar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 65% | • 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 1 - 0 - 0 Telstar. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Telstar?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 3:0 Telstar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Heerenveen score 1.69 goals per game on average and Telstar 1.35. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Heerenveen's matches and 65% of Telstar's.
What form are Heerenveen and Telstar in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Telstar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.