Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai: match statistics
Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hegelmann Litauen played Trakai in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hegelmann Litauen: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Trakai: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hegelmann Litauen scores 0.75 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Trakai scores 0.38 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hegelmann Litauen 50%, Trakai 38%. Over 2.5: Hegelmann Litauen 25%, Trakai 63%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Hegelmann Litauen has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.10. Hegelmann Litauen: 10.0 shots per match, Trakai: 8.9.
Match halves
Hegelmann Litauen: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Trakai: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Hegelmann Litauen: 31-45+ (2 goals). Trakai: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hegelmann Litauen are favorites due to superior defensive solidity and greater attacking efficiency: at home the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal per match, whereas Trakai concede 3.75 goals away and have no away wins (all away matches lost). The hosts have scored 6 goals this season, averaging 1.0 goal per home match, while Trakai have 3 goals this season and only 0.25 goals away; Hegelmann average 10.6 shots and 2.4 on target at home versus Trakai’s 6.25 shots and 1.5 on target. Chance quality also favors the hosts: average xG for Hegelmann at home is 1.24 versus 0.90 for Trakai away, and the conversion rate is 9% compared to 4% for the visitors. Form confirms the edge — Hegelmann’s last 5 home matches read L‑D‑D‑D‑W and they average 1.2 points from the last 5 matches, while Trakai have a run of away defeats (L‑L‑L‑L) and average 0.4 points from the last 5. Considering these figures (1.0 vs 3.75 in defense, 10.6 vs 6.25 in shots, xG 1.24 vs 0.90 and the fact that Trakai fail to score in 75% of away games), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A dominant signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Trakai: this team averages only 0.25 goals per match this season (3 goals total) and has scored just 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 per match), while conceding 20 goals this season (3.75 per match) and 10 goals in the last 5 (2.0 per match). Hegelmann at home averages 0.5 goals per match this season (6 goals), xG_for 1.19 and an average of 3.5 shots on target per match, which suggests the hosts will create chances against Trakai’s defense (xG_against_away 1.7). Crucially, 75% of Trakai’s away matches finished over 2.5 goals without BTTS (over25_and_no_btts_percentage_away = 75%), meaning results are often one-sided with opponents scoring while Trakai fails to reply. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for both teams, but the raw numbers (Hegelmann 4 scored and 7 conceded; Trakai 2 scored and 10 conceded in the last 5) show opponents are scoring the bulk of goals, not Trakai. For these reasons I assign a higher probability to No Goal (no BTTS) at approximately 70% versus 30% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculation based on xG: Hegelmann has an attacking xG of 1.19, Trakai 0.90, and xG conceded of 1.70 (Trakai) and 2.25 (Hegelmann), therefore expected home goals (1.19+1.70)/2 = 1.45 and away goals (0.90+2.25)/2 = 1.58, total 3.03. Seasonal stats reinforce the over signal: Trakai has seasonConcededAVG_away = 3.75 and seasonOver25Percentage_away = 100%, while Hegelmann has seasonOver15Percentage_home = 75%. However, one must account for low actual finishing — average goals are 0.5 for Hegelmann and 0.25 for Trakai and shot conversion rates only 5% and 4%, which reduces confidence in the projection. Still, the combination of xG = 3.03 and the fact that all Trakai matches were over 2.5 goals provides the strongest signal for Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hegelmann were level at half-time in 3 of 4 matches (75%), scoring an average of 0.5 goals by the break and keeping a clean sheet at half-time in 75% of appearances. Trakai, on the other hand, were not leading at half-time in any of their 4 matches (0%) and concede an average of 2.25 goals by the break, indicating significant defensive issues in the first half. Additionally, the home side generate more (xG 1.19 versus the visitors' 0.9) while the visitors concede an average of 3.75 goals per match and have lost all their games this season (100% losses), so the probability of a turnaround by Trakai is low. Based on this, the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (HT/FT X/1) — I assign this scenario a 49% probability; alternatively, a home lead at the break and a home win at full-time (HT/FT 1/1) is possible at 22%, or the draw holding through to full-time at 22%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hegelmann Litauen | Trakai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hegelmann Litauen is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 0.4 pts / match - Trakai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hegelmann Litauen is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 0.38 goals / match - Trakai
Hegelmann Litauen is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 2.5 goals / match - Trakai
Hegelmann Litauen scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Trakai keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Trakai scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Hegelmann Litauen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hegelmann Litauen
Over / Under - Trakai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hegelmann Litauen is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 0.75 pts / match - Trakai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hegelmann Litauen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Trakai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hegelmann Litauen
Trakai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Hegelmann Litauen | Liga | Trakai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 43% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Hegelmann Litauen 3 - 0 - 1 Trakai. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai?
The A Lyga match finished Hegelmann Litauen 0:0 Trakai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hegelmann Litauen and Trakai?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hegelmann Litauen won 3, Trakai won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai?
Hegelmann Litauen score 0.75 goals per game on average and Trakai 0.38. The A Lyga average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hegelmann Litauen's matches and 38% of Trakai's.
What form are Hegelmann Litauen and Trakai in?
Over the last 5 games Hegelmann Litauen have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Trakai 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai?
The statistical background for Hegelmann Litauen vs Trakai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.