Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius: match statistics
Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hegelmann Litauen played TransINVEST Vilnius in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Hegelmann Litauen: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. TransINVEST Vilnius: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hegelmann Litauen scores 0.50 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. TransINVEST Vilnius scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hegelmann Litauen 50%, TransINVEST Vilnius 33%. Over 2.5: Hegelmann Litauen 0%, TransINVEST Vilnius 50%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
TransINVEST Vilnius has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.15. Hegelmann Litauen: 9.8 shots per match, TransINVEST Vilnius: 14.7.
Match halves
Hegelmann Litauen: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17. TransINVEST Vilnius: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Hegelmann Litauen: 16-30 (1 goals). TransINVEST Vilnius: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
TransINVEST sits 3rd with a season record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and 8 goals scored (6 in the last 5 matches), while Hegelmann are 8th with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss and only 3 goals this season. The visitors generate substantially more high-quality chances: average xG TransINVEST 1.90 vs 1.13 for Hegelmann, with an average of 17 shots and 7 on target per away match compared to 9.75 shots and 2 on target for the home side. Hegelmann at home record 75% draws and 0% wins, scoring just 0.5 goals on average while conceding 1.0 and keeping 25% clean sheets, which indicates limited offensive output despite reasonable defensive organization. TransINVEST have superior form: 3 wins in the last 5 and an average of 2.0 points per game in that period vs Hegelmann’s 5 draws and 1.0 point per game, although the visitors concede on average 1.5 goals away. Considering the xG advantage (1.90 vs 1.13), shot and shot-on-target superiority and better points tempo, I project an away victory with an estimated distribution: 55% TransINVEST, 30% draw, 15% Hegelmann.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor 'no': Hegelmann has 75% clean sheets and concedes only 0.5 goals per match on average, while TransINVEST scores 1.0 goal per match this season. Home BTTS rate for the hosts is only 25%, and in the league 77% of matches end with a clean sheet for one of the teams with a league average of 2.2 goals, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring (league BTTS 40%). The counterargument is the visitors' attack — TransINVEST has xG 1.9 versus 1.6 for the hosts and 7.0 shots on target versus 4.25, so they generate more chances. In the last 5 matches Hegelmann had BTTS 60% and 3 scored/3 conceded, while TransINVEST had 20% BTTS with 6 scored/3 conceded, yet the hosts' seasonal defense remains dominant. Therefore I estimate a 30% chance for BTTS 'Yes' and 70% for 'No' and pick 'No' as the most confident tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and defensive form projects total expected goals around 2.88 (xG: Hegelmann 1.6 vs TransINVEST 1.9), translating to ~1.39 goals for the home side and ~1.49 for the visitors. Hegelmann average 1.5 goals scored at home while conceding only 0.5, keeping a clean sheet in 75% of home matches, so their games less frequently turn into high-scoring affairs (only 25% over 3.5 at home). TransINVEST generates 7.0 shots on target and xG 1.9 but with a conversion rate of 6% yielding on average 1.0 goal; additionally the visitors have 0% clean sheets and 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season. Given the combined xG of ~2.88 and historical over 2.5 rates around 50% for both teams, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (82%), Over 2.5 looks moderately likely (62%), while Over 3.5 has low probability (18%). I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the optimal line (over, line 1.5) with expected goals 1.39/1.49 and total 2.88, because TransINVEST consistently creates chances and produces matches with at least 2 goals despite Hegelmann restricting opponents’ scoring.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics clearly favor the home side: Hegelmann averages 0.5 goals by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.5), concedes 0.0 goals before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 0.0) and records 100% clean sheets at half-time (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 100.0), leading at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 50.0). The away team generates higher xG and more shots (xg_for_avg_away = 1.9 vs 1.6 for the home side; 17.0 shots vs 13.5 and 7.0 shots on target vs 4.25), but they have inferior finishing (6% conversion vs 11% for the home team), which reduces the realistic chance of a turnaround. In the second half the hosts are more active in scoring: on average 1.5 goals in second halves (AVG_2hg_home = 1.5) and 1.0 goal after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.0) versus 0.5 for the away side (scored_2hg_avg_away = 0.5). Despite the visitors’ better recent form over the last five matches (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 60.0 vs last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 0.0, with the home team having five draws), the HT profile and superior efficiency lead me to the 1/1 scenario as most likely. Therefore 1/1 is assigned the highest probability, with X/1 second on the list.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hegelmann Litauen | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransINVEST Vilnius is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 2 pts / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransINVEST Vilnius is 166% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Hegelmann Litauen · 1.33 goals / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while TransINVEST Vilnius keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
TransINVEST Vilnius scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Hegelmann Litauen keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hegelmann Litauen
Over / Under - TransINVEST Vilnius
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hegelmann Litauen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TransINVEST Vilnius - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hegelmann Litauen
TransINVEST Vilnius
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Hegelmann Litauen | Liga | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.29 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
The A Lyga match finished Hegelmann Litauen 3:1 TransINVEST Vilnius. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
Hegelmann Litauen score 0.50 goals per game on average and TransINVEST Vilnius 1.33. The A Lyga average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hegelmann Litauen's matches and 33% of TransINVEST Vilnius's.
What form are Hegelmann Litauen and TransINVEST Vilnius in?
Over the last 5 games Hegelmann Litauen have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.